Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AZ win on 2025-09-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x193d150e88a8c776e4922b2e2124f5b41c4b03fe99f27396195bc39300ed19f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 52c | 5,390$2,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,608.58 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Yes | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9920…8f8ebacked Yes | 33c | 2,604$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 73c | 1,532$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 24c | 1,353$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.51 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 55c | 1,277$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa296…ab9ebacked Yes | 77c | 912.99$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 78cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked No | 46c | 507.73$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed No | 15c | 448.96$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.51 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 26c | 364.3$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.58 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 25c | 362.66$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 24c | 300$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b4…1df1backed Yes | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…8ab1backed Yes | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 74c | 250$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 57c | 247$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.41 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994f…2f7dbacked Yes | 74c | 210$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 77cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 55c | 194.55$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 75c | 133.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 26c | 99.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.87 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 74c | 97$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.78 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 51c | 89.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.94 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…b378backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4e…b5eabacked Yes | 77c | 67.53$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 25c | 65.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 26c | 60.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.96 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a0…63b2backed Yes | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 72cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6350…759abacked Yes | 75c | 49.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe5…ac12backed Yes | 66c | 43.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes | 70c | 28.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b91…27dcbacked Yes | 76c | 23.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb32b…522dbacked Yes | 75c | 16.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AZ win on 2025-09-24?this page
- Will AZ vs. PEC Zwolle end in a draw?Yes won
- Will PEC Zwolle win on 2025-09-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.