Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Trabzonspor win on 2025-09-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cdc0181ad6cb19fea7ec81c97003c42aa2007bf3804c83665671affbfca6dde
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,756
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,756 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 47c | 2,589$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.35 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e7…ef3bbacked Yes | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…e4a1backed Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 42c | 470.65$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 39c | 439.75$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.6 | 230 | 21.7%50 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…57d6backed Yes | 62c | 289$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Yes | 38c | 213.16$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 57c | 149.91$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.07 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 59c | 123.42$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.82 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 43c | 105$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.85 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…b378backed Yes | 60c | 96.67$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf01…416cbacked Yes | 46c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked No | 44c | 89.29$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…3d82backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed Yes | 62c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf47…326fbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 26cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6a…8be9backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45fe…da9cbacked Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7237…ca81backed Yes | 61c | 40.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd83b…4236backed Yes | 42c | 39.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 58c | 38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 72c | 35.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 42c | 33.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 44c | 33.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed Yes | 58c | 30.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trabzonspor win on 2025-09-20?this page
- Will Gaziantep FK win on 2025-09-20?No won
- Will Trabzonspor vs. Gaziantep FK end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.