College Football · resolved market
Louisiana vs. Eastern Michigan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2189659f22fa034b530d872d84ad2048488ba99014a8ac06d6096b4963df9178
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eastern Michiganof Louisiana, Eastern Michigan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,474
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,474 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Eastern Michigan | 45c | 5,183$2,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,852.4 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Louisiana | 55c | 4,889$2,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,689.08 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…beb5backed Louisiana | 63c | 2,063$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Louisiana | 59c | 1,708$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.89 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Louisiana | 2c | 1,576$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Louisiana | 56c | 803.51$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Eastern Michigan | 44c | 800$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Eastern Michigan | 46c | 747.61$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.08 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Eastern Michigan | 39c | 595$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.88 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Eastern Michigan | 38c | 443.86$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.68 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Louisiana | 41c | 242.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Eastern Michigan | 45c | 241.75$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.38 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Louisiana | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Eastern Michigan | 60c | 168.1$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.46 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Louisiana | 41c | 164.21$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.8 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…b378backed Eastern Michigan | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…7674backed Louisiana | 57c | 130$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Eastern Michigan | 38c | 117.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Eastern Michigan | 56c | 102.64$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.77 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Eastern Michigan | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Louisiana | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…754fbacked Louisiana | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e4…b798backed Eastern Michigan | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Louisiana | 69c | 91.38$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Eastern Michigan | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3eb…6b2ebacked Louisiana | 56c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…f6f6backed Louisiana | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcedf…ba7ebacked Louisiana | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd89c…e550backed Louisiana | 56c | 52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1965…ba40backed Louisiana | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc878…9fc4backed Louisiana | 56c | 46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x452d…eba4backed Louisiana | 56c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Louisiana | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff6f…2705backed Eastern Michigan | 70c | 44.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a1…d3adbacked Louisiana | 56c | 44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf850…6751backed Louisiana | 56c | 42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…de94backed Louisiana | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f0…c03ebacked Louisiana | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa18d…0c7ebacked Louisiana | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7969…c333backed Louisiana | 56c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Louisiana | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2082…c686backed Louisiana | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7869…61d8backed Louisiana | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2328…107bbacked Louisiana | 56c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…7796backed Louisiana | 56c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f2…3becbacked Louisiana | 56c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked Louisiana | 60c | 31.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f2…3d9bbacked Louisiana | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f32…7976backed Louisiana | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91e…5f1cbacked Eastern Michigan | 44c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51df…3b00backed Louisiana | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aad…6455backed Louisiana | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Eastern Michigan | 43c | 24.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…463dbacked Eastern Michigan | 44c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0d…feedbacked Louisiana | 56c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…f849backed Louisiana | 56c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Louisiana | 54c | 19.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4140…195fbacked Louisiana | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…a770backed Louisiana | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Louisiana vs. Eastern Michiganthis page
- Louisiana vs. Eastern Michigan: O/U 50.5Over won
- Spread: Louisiana (-2.5)Eastern Michigan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.