Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2025-09-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61ba10266d28104b9a7eb4321c2242c39c0670c1992e58a6c7aa874b6d2adc50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,384
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,384 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 62c | 2,027$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.87 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 1,078$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.25 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Yes | 29c | 1,018$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…b378backed Yes | 52c | 573.66$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 55c | 504.09$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b7…e9babacked Yes | 47c | 464.52$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 37c | 416$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.92 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ce…f74dbacked No | 47c | 320.32$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed No | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 74cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 26c | 204.21$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e5…c3d4backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61b…1f96backed Yes | 42c | 153.07$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.29 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…c62dbacked Yes | 54c | 83.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…2f0dbacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked No | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 26c | 68.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d0…a970backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d83…09c4backed No | 75c | 17.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2025-09-28?this page
- Will Kayserispor win on 2025-09-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.