Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-09-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b297c6782168b65867ccb4a0c3a976dcadd5e8ebccba563d11b5bc4ee8a5014
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,447
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,447 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 80c | 2,410$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.75 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +18.3wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 36c | 2,173$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.72 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 80c | 1,889$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.92 | 89 | 76.4%68 W · 21 L | +17.9wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 1,732$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.4 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 64c | 1,725$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.87 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 21c | 838.45$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.74 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 20c | 600.84$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.81 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked No | 67c | 437.43$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…a66cbacked Yes | 80c | 340.8$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.16 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…b378backed Yes | 69c | 291.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.67 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2635…5408backed Yes | 29c | 254.54$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.72 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 33c | 254.54$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.54 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked No | 50c | 240.74$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 31c | 155$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.95 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 31c | 145$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.05 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 69c | 144$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08cd…2bc1backed No | 47c | 99.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 71c | 95.74$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 69c | 73.81$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.93 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 30c | 71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 18c | 60.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 53c | 45.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…be51backed No | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8832…81b4backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…626bbacked Yes | 60c | 22.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda7b…93f4backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb32b…522dbacked No | 67c | 18.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 70cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-09-20?this page
- Will OGC Nice win on 2025-09-20?No won
- Will Stade Brestois 29 vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.