College Football · resolved market
Duke vs. Syracuse
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf44c6f6a6deb2a2a769d163c8ba1c9bd73eb0465b49d6f5b1bc22b228856db60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dukeof Duke, Syracuse
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $157,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $158,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Duke | 62c | 48,085$29,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,156.15 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4c…685dbacked Syracuse | 38c | 31,407$12,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,034.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Syracuse | 36c | 21,596$7,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,875.05 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Duke | 64c | 18,750$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,750 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Syracuse | 36c | 17,997$6,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,479.05 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Duke | 76c | 12,029$9,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,925 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Syracuse | 38c | 10,016$3,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,806.08 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Duke | 63c | 7,253$4,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.66 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Duke | 63c | 6,974$4,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580.43 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…374abacked Syracuse | 29c | 6,969$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.05 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Syracuse | 37c | 6,712$2,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,483.33 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Syracuse | 37c | 6,045$2,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,236.65 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Syracuse | 22c | 5,630$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.64 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Duke | 62c | 4,900$3,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,851 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Duke | 62c | 3,695$2,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.37 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Duke | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Duke | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Syracuse | 24c | 2,620$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.02 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Syracuse | 36c | 2,453$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.12 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Duke | 71c | 2,434$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.46 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Duke | 73c | 2,244$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.22 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc567…04bfbacked Syracuse | 38c | 2,184$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Duke | 68c | 2,158$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.2 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Duke | 63c | 1,980$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.98 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Duke | 64c | 1,671$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.88 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Duke | 62c | 1,670$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.83 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked Syracuse | 38c | 1,642$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.95 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Syracuse | 32c | 1,605$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Syracuse | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Syracuse | 36c | 1,280$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.4 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Syracuse | 28c | 1,030$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.7 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Syracuse | 4c | 1,026$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Duke | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +14.8wins | +0.23per pick | 42cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Syracuse | 1c | 735.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 69 | 4.3%3 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Duke | 63c | 731$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.47 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf35e…94cabacked Syracuse | 35c | 712.95$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Duke | 67c | 709.99$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.3 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Duke | 61c | 700$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Syracuse | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Duke | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Duke | 61c | 392$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.24 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f85…b41fbacked Syracuse | 8c | 353.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Duke | 62c | 350$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.17 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Duke | 62c | 350$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.5 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Duke | 61c | 350$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Syracuse | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2fdbbacked Syracuse | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…2953backed Syracuse | 19c | 255.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8c…672ebacked Duke | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Syracuse | 5c | 247.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Duke | 64c | 212$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.82 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Duke | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Duke | 67c | 199.47$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…a202backed Syracuse | 37c | 150.93$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…a42dbacked Syracuse | 36c | 150.41$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b6…9d5ebacked Duke | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9017…9173backed Syracuse | 38c | 148.29$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Duke | 63c | 142.86$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb313…f17bbacked Duke | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…7d00backed Syracuse | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked Duke | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x25a1…f2fdbacked Syracuse | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +301.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68d9…00edbacked Syracuse | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Syracuse | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…b23bbacked Syracuse | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81c8…97b8backed Syracuse | 24c | 92.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a03…47c1backed Syracuse | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Syracuse | 38c | 79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dc…8bc3backed Syracuse | 38c | 79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Duke | 63c | 68.54$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Syracuse | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d4…d3aabacked Duke | 63c | 58.41$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfab8…e432backed Syracuse | 45c | 49.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7869…61d8backed Duke | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a572backed Duke | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4055…8449backed Syracuse | 37c | 29.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Duke | 61c | 27.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3396…759fbacked Duke | 63c | 19.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d41…708cbacked Duke | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Duke vs. Syracusethis page
- O/U 60.5Under won
- Spread: Duke (-5.5)Duke won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.