College Football · resolved market
Louisville vs. Pittsburgh
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc6425f01129e2a7b7bf1ff218f5b9cead63459442fe1538f7261b4ff056c21c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Louisvilleof Louisville, Pittsburgh
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Louisville | 38c | 10,654$4,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,612.41 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Pittsburgh | 69c | 5,381$3,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,697.4 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Louisville | 60c | 4,500$2,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Louisville | 33c | 4,285$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,861.1 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Pittsburgh | 38c | 4,243$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.46 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…374abacked Pittsburgh | 76c | 3,888$2,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,941.23 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh | 79c | 3,360$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,659.98 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Pittsburgh | 40c | 2,972$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.84 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Louisville | 28c | 2,933$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,105.96 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Pittsburgh | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Pittsburgh | 38c | 2,678$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.13 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Louisville | 34c | 2,410$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.61 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Louisville | 62c | 2,408$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.04 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Louisville | 62c | 1,890$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.79 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Louisville | 63c | 1,879$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.16 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Louisville | 62c | 1,301$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.88 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Louisville | 56c | 1,006$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.94 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Louisville | 78c | 950$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.5 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pittsburgh | 63c | 837.19$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.31 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Pittsburgh | 39c | 600$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Louisville | 30c | 572.22$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.92 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Louisville | 63c | 512$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.44 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Louisville | 37c | 506.01$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.8 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Pittsburgh | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Pittsburgh | 68c | 499$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.51 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Louisville | 44c | 490.85$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.28 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Louisville | 44c | 483.15$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.18 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pittsburgh | 61c | 405.11$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.12 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Louisville | 29c | 350$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.19 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Louisville | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Pittsburgh | 7c | 300$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 69 | 4.3%3 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Pittsburgh | 53c | 216.98$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…2953backed Louisville | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Louisville | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Pittsburgh | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Louisville | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Louisville | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb02f…0673backed Louisville | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Pittsburgh | 38c | 72.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdc…ae37backed Louisville | 29c | 70$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.58 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21aa…aa43backed Louisville | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +56%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Pittsburgh | 41c | 49.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0a…0684backed Louisville | 59c | 46.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7869…61d8backed Louisville | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Pittsburgh | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Louisville | 57c | 23.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed Louisville | 61c | 18.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Louisville vs. Pittsburghthis page
- O/U 57.5Over won
- Spread: Louisville (-4.5)Louisville won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.