La Liga · resolved market
Will Villarreal win on 2025-09-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e04063e3c8fab82ca6961ad3e71f3b2c393fd895bf79f644f17afbe37d525a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $154,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $175,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 55c | 58,901$32,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,587.78 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…7691backed Yes | 45c | 38,357$17,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,120.07 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 44c | 21,250$9,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,834.7 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 45c | 6,500$2,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,892.48 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 59c | 6,000$3,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,540 | 90 | 28.9%26 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 45c | 4,995$2,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,747.21 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Yes | 41c | 3,383$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995.97 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…374abacked Yes | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 42c | 2,978$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.39 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Yes | 70c | 2,910$2,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 2,829$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.19 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 48c | 2,667$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.27 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 55c | 2,429$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.28 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 66c | 2,176$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.74 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 59c | 2,119$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.21 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…f88dbacked Yes | 46c | 2,100$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Yes | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 62c | 1,948$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.24 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…807dbacked Yes | 47c | 1,465$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.62 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5d…f4e1backed Yes | 42c | 1,177$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…6f5cbacked No | 78c | 1,133$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29c…417dbacked Yes | 45c | 1,110$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 65c | 1,017$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.94 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Yes | 71c | 1,000$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked Yes | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 44c | 887.99$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.27 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 58c | 882.08$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.6 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed No | 59c | 835.55$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.98 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked No | 24c | 811.98$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.95 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 58c | 776.97$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.64 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 56c | 773.42$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.47 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked No | 35c | 742.86$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No | 57c | 724$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.68 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 72c | 684.71$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.67 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Yes | 40c | 681.14$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.14 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Yes | 45c | 612.8$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 45c | 602.22$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.22 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.2 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 43c | 600$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…b5c3backed Yes | 43c | 587.3$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 32c | 560.38$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.48 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 32c | 499.98$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 57c | 489.67$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.69 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yes | 41c | 453.66$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.66 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed No | 59c | 413.14$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.75 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 73c | 410$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.7 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 45c | 355$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.75 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 57c | 342.11$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…af7fbacked Yes | 70c | 310.36$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 58c | 291.83$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.98 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3c…a6a3backed No | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 24c | 278.94$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.73 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…91cabacked Yes | 44c | 264.29$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.29 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Yes | 45c | 258$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x844a…ba1abacked Yes | 24c | 254.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked No | 7c | 250$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcccf…4aedbacked Yes | 41c | 242.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…0495backed No | 57c | 241.54$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.68 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…345abacked Yes | 42c | 240$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Yes | 42c | 239$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.62 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6231…3f29backed Yes | 54c | 228.57$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 54cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeeb…645fbacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 43c | 220.78$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.78 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…2882backed Yes | 55c | 217.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf31…2931backed Yes | 67c | 217.39$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.74 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 56c | 211.79$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.6 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Yes | 42c | 210.41$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.04 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 66c | 206.53$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.16 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…c220backed No | 59c | 181$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.79 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98fa…d698backed Yes | 42c | 169$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.02 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed No | 31c | 164.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…7a12backed No | 33c | 163.64$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…45eabacked Yes | 27c | 152.04$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.04 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…998ebacked Yes | 42c | 150$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed Yes | 69c | 144.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Yes | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.86 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +8.2wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 76c | 141.11$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 258 | 72.9%188 W · 70 L | +23.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf323…d308backed Yes | 25c | 140$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 41c | 135.59$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 43c | 134.44$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.64 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…862ebacked Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed No | 59c | 118.64$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7a…45bdbacked Yes | 68c | 114.28$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3425…84a6backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b28…15d7backed No | 80c | 107.51$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a8…8466backed No | 58c | 105$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed No | 57c | 98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.86 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…27b1backed Yes | 42c | 95.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.43 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x582b…20afbacked No | 35c | 91.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Villarreal win on 2025-09-23?this page
- Will Sevilla vs. Villarreal end in a draw?No won
- Will Sevilla win on 2025-09-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.