La Liga · resolved market
Will Sevilla vs. Villarreal end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x682d63b04e8ae59c927bb37352420ee497018a2f7a02f3a501210a3cb342472f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 30c | 2,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 32c | 2,378$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 1,916$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.91 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 70c | 1,599$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.84 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 64c | 1,437$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.28 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 74c | 1,154$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.31 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 66c | 1,072$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.1 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc29c…417dbacked Yes | 76c | 1,056$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 72c | 759$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.52 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 28c | 660.39$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.91 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 28c | 647.95$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.42 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed No | 38c | 558.39$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.69 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 28c | 500.31$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.33 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Yes | 10c | 430$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Yes | 9c | 424$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 29c | 420.29$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 5c | 420$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Yes | 71c | 409.2$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.51 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…45eabacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No | 75c | 313.4$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.35 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e47…0661backed Yes | 66c | 301.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…cfe5backed Yes | 29c | 272.41$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf31…2931backed Yes | 25c | 217.4$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.35 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Yes | 47c | 210.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.51 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6231…3f29backed No | 64c | 199.99$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 54cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe468…926ebacked Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 71c | 114.69$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.26 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 48c | 114.58$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d41…fa71backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda7…fc55backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03a6…1198backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -5.2wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x98fa…d698backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2d…2460backed Yes | 60c | 91.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes | 52c | 88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb765…f696backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed Yes | 50c | 78.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed No | 52c | 71.35$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…3d62backed Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1a…bf3abacked Yes | 54c | 63.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…56b9backed Yes | 42c | 56.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d1…f279backed Yes | 49c | 54.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e3…da52backed Yes | 45c | 52.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x695a…d3d6backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…862ebacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5a2bbacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 29c | 46.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8545…da3bbacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…a752backed No | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fc…b47dbacked Yes | 29c | 41.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…7293backed No | 72c | 38.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd495…02adbacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacd8…b9f6backed Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3f38…b058backed Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 50c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb32b…522dbacked No | 73c | 17.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…0b63backed No | 72c | 13.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sevilla vs. Villarreal end in a draw?this page
- Will Sevilla win on 2025-09-23?No won
- Will Villarreal win on 2025-09-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.