College Football · resolved market
Tulane vs. Ole Miss
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc331db2f14d42ec977c0ab00341dd3a755ffa3a1b1155fb1a31fd5e954324805
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ole Missof Tulane, Ole Miss
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,146
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,146 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Tulane | 22c | 14,027$3,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,085.94 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Ole Miss | 78c | 13,683$10,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,005.43 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Tulane | 19c | 5,020$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.73 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Ole Miss | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Tulane | 20c | 4,983$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.65 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…374abacked Tulane | 21c | 3,507$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.4 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Ole Miss | 78c | 3,030$2,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.66 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Tulane | 19c | 2,639$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.49 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Tulane | 1c | 2,584$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 81 | 4.9%4 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Ole Miss | 79c | 2,502$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.79 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Tulane | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Tulane | 18c | 2,364$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.64 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Tulane | 1c | 1,628$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Tulane | 21c | 1,611$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.84 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ole Miss | 79c | 915.33$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.63 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Tulane | 21c | 530.49$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.1 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Tulane | 20c | 499.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Ole Miss | 77c | 428$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.44 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Tulane | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 69 | 4.3%3 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…b23bbacked Tulane | 21c | 285.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Tulane | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Tulane | 19c | 215.87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Ole Miss | 76c | 199.76$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.12 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Ole Miss | 79c | 190$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.51 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Ole Miss | 80c | 175$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Tulane | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Ole Miss | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Ole Miss | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6b…74ccbacked Tulane | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Ole Miss | 78c | 99.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Tulane | 10c | 99.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 24cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Tulane | 20c | 86.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Ole Miss | 79c | 70.42$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Ole Miss | 77c | 64.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8267…918dbacked Ole Miss | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd3…d704backed Ole Miss | 80c | 59.24$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3482…364fbacked Tulane | 22c | 56.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9709…b521backed Tulane | 22c | 50.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Ole Miss | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Ole Miss | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d9…00edbacked Tulane | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Ole Miss | 79c | 49.49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ole Miss | 80c | 43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Ole Miss | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Ole Miss | 80c | 25.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Ole Miss | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 148 | 36.5%54 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8825…648cbacked Ole Miss | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b0…d805backed Ole Miss | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +110.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Ole Miss | 80c | 19.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tulane vs. Ole Missthis page
- Spread: Ole Miss (-11.5)Ole Miss won
- Tulane vs. Ole Miss: O/U 61.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.