TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Wyoming vs. Hawaii

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hawaiiof Wyoming, Hawaii
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$147,574
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$158,166

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,574 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe90b…5da2backed Wyoming20c38,202$7,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,547.5916234%55 W · 107 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Wyoming23c36,383$8,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,486.5458850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c81…fce3backed Hawaii80c33,748$26,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,764.343056.7%17 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Hawaii78c31,884$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,884.1419362.2%120 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Hawaii75c10,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50027246%125 W · 147 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Hawaii76c8,479$6,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,048.698544.7%38 W · 47 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Wyoming26c8,110$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,069.6352449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Hawaii79c5,530$4,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.621538.6%83 W · 132 L-0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Wyoming40c3,895$1,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,558.1238546%177 W · 208 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Hawaii60c3,650$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.8515451.9%80 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Wyoming4c3,167$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135806.3%5 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Wyoming22c2,500$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5505942.4%25 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Wyoming23c2,261$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.182,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked Wyoming23c2,099$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.6947131.4%148 W · 323 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Hawaii76c2,046$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.142100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Wyoming25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007133.8%24 W · 47 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Wyoming25c1,744$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.1234529.9%103 W · 242 L-21.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Wyoming23c1,500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34513417.2%23 W · 111 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wyoming22c1,500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3309444.7%42 W · 52 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Wyoming20c1,495$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.3349253.5%263 W · 229 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Wyoming25c1,331$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.537642.1%32 W · 44 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Wyoming21c1,310$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27593548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Hawaii75c1,185$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.1550358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Hawaii74c1,183$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.673056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6ba…aed2backed Wyoming26c1,123$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Wyoming29c1,049$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.1740541.2%167 W · 238 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Hawaii75c1,031$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.7255350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21d8…ad91backed Wyoming24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2408145.7%37 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8f8…09f7backed Hawaii64c786.13$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Wyoming27c742.59$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013444%59 W · 75 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Wyoming22c632.41$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.1348546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Hawaii64c615.59$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.6226940.5%109 W · 160 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Hawaii75c549$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.2520757.5%119 W · 88 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Wyoming13c500$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662630.8%8 W · 18 L-4.8wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-47.6%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Wyoming38c500$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19117837.6%67 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Hawaii74c499.91$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.9813531.9%43 W · 92 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0e1…81d5backed Wyoming4c450$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.51631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick36cpaid+11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8a4…75c1backed Hawaii75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Hawaii77c389.58$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.05955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Wyoming27c365.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039847.7%190 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Hawaii75c325.99$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7957144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Hawaii69c320.03$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.6119842.9%85 W · 113 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb88…2a30backed Hawaii77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692176.2%16 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x356f…6254backed Wyoming22c299.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb06c…6961backed Hawaii76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Hawaii74c254.18$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.5265945.2%298 W · 361 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc89d…5909backed Hawaii76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea8d…e9d3backed Hawaii79c196.2$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe30e…4eedbacked Wyoming6c183.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115223.1%12 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Wyoming22c160$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3512433.1%41 W · 83 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3304…7048backed Hawaii77c153.91$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.41764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Wyoming13c153$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0654243.2%234 W · 308 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864a…7cacbacked Wyoming26c151.04$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.274652.2%24 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3458…b5a7backed Hawaii75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3310664.2%68 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked Hawaii77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.871172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Hawaii76c127.23$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.083354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb15e…5111backed Hawaii74c118.21$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.323050%15 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked Hawaii75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257145.1%32 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wyoming24c92$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0840244.8%180 W · 222 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Wyoming25c91.2$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.818416.8%31 W · 153 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e34…0f0dbacked Hawaii75c84$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f79…1db4backed Wyoming24c83.34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed Wyoming29c83$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0811752.1%61 W · 56 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa038…341dbacked Wyoming20c80.26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.926030%18 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6aa…e739backed Hawaii75c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d23…b55bbacked Hawaii77c78.05$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.054362.8%27 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56af…e2a4backed Wyoming26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-55.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b23…bbb5backed Wyoming26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Wyoming24c75.97$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9711354.9%62 W · 51 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Wyoming24c69.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.86338.1%24 W · 39 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33c7…092bbacked Hawaii75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.673100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Wyoming23c65.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3228440.8%116 W · 168 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Wyoming23c62.34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3422030.5%67 W · 153 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64ec…f07bbacked Hawaii75c61.33$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1e3…39f0backed Wyoming26c59.81$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.554252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Wyoming25c59.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8928032.9%92 W · 188 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4210…a147backed Hawaii75c52$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+94.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a42…ab3fbacked Hawaii75c52$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x686a…c769backed Hawaii77c51.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.955867.2%39 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe55…9d92backed Hawaii75c50.67$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Wyoming21c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.52552%13 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+33.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2382…4628backed Wyoming21c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51070%7 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+34.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd5b…8882backed Wyoming25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.54822.9%11 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked Hawaii75c49.61$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.66241.9%26 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x259f…49e3backed Hawaii75c48$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6162…3596backed Hawaii75c48$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce98…9815backed Hawaii75c46.67$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8967…9a04backed Hawaii75c45.33$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1db7…ddc7backed Hawaii75c44$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb52c…fb5bbacked Hawaii75c44$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef84…30dbbacked Hawaii75c44$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc36a…a9cbbacked Hawaii75c42.67$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.67250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e14…fcffbacked Hawaii75c42.67$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x097f…df92backed Wyoming26c42.31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x273c…a269backed Hawaii73c41.13$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.13666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+45.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5df6…1849backed Wyoming25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1050%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x98d7…95d4backed Wyoming27c39.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.852548%12 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74f4…d0f6backed Hawaii76c39.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.472080%16 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36fb…d973backed Hawaii75c36$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe502…a279backed Hawaii76c34.13$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.