College Football · resolved market
Wyoming vs. Hawaii
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2aa7238a1780723f6eb1a4e4bb1af709fdb7a190c1c0124f27bed140f25e3802
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawaiiof Wyoming, Hawaii
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $147,574
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $158,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,574 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Wyoming | 20c | 38,202$7,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,547.59 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wyoming | 23c | 36,383$8,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,486.54 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c81…fce3backed Hawaii | 80c | 33,748$26,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,764.34 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Hawaii | 78c | 31,884$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,884.14 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Hawaii | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Hawaii | 76c | 8,479$6,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,048.69 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Wyoming | 26c | 8,110$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069.63 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Hawaii | 79c | 5,530$4,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.6 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Wyoming | 40c | 3,895$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.12 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Hawaii | 60c | 3,650$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.85 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Wyoming | 4c | 3,167$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Wyoming | 22c | 2,500$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wyoming | 23c | 2,261$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.18 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Wyoming | 23c | 2,099$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.69 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Hawaii | 76c | 2,046$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Wyoming | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Wyoming | 25c | 1,744$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.12 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Wyoming | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wyoming | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Wyoming | 20c | 1,495$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.33 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Wyoming | 25c | 1,331$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.53 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Wyoming | 21c | 1,310$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Hawaii | 75c | 1,185$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.15 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Hawaii | 74c | 1,183$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.67 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ba…aed2backed Wyoming | 26c | 1,123$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Wyoming | 29c | 1,049$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.17 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Hawaii | 75c | 1,031$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.72 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d8…ad91backed Wyoming | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f8…09f7backed Hawaii | 64c | 786.13$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Wyoming | 27c | 742.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wyoming | 22c | 632.41$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.13 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Hawaii | 64c | 615.59$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.62 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Hawaii | 75c | 549$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.25 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Wyoming | 13c | 500$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Wyoming | 38c | 500$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Hawaii | 74c | 499.91$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.98 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…81d5backed Wyoming | 4c | 450$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…75c1backed Hawaii | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Hawaii | 77c | 389.58$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.05 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Wyoming | 27c | 365.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Hawaii | 75c | 325.99$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.79 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hawaii | 69c | 320.03$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.61 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb88…2a30backed Hawaii | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x356f…6254backed Wyoming | 22c | 299.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Hawaii | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Hawaii | 74c | 254.18$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.52 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Hawaii | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Hawaii | 79c | 196.2$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4eedbacked Wyoming | 6c | 183.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Wyoming | 22c | 160$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 124 | 33.1%41 W · 83 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…7048backed Hawaii | 77c | 153.91$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wyoming | 13c | 153$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Wyoming | 26c | 151.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Hawaii | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Hawaii | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Hawaii | 76c | 127.23$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb15e…5111backed Hawaii | 74c | 118.21$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Hawaii | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wyoming | 24c | 92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Wyoming | 25c | 91.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e34…0f0dbacked Hawaii | 75c | 84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Wyoming | 24c | 83.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Wyoming | 29c | 83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa038…341dbacked Wyoming | 20c | 80.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6aa…e739backed Hawaii | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d23…b55bbacked Hawaii | 77c | 78.05$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56af…e2a4backed Wyoming | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Wyoming | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Wyoming | 24c | 75.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Wyoming | 24c | 69.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c7…092bbacked Hawaii | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Wyoming | 23c | 65.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Wyoming | 23c | 62.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…f07bbacked Hawaii | 75c | 61.33$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e3…39f0backed Wyoming | 26c | 59.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Wyoming | 25c | 59.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4210…a147backed Hawaii | 75c | 52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…ab3fbacked Hawaii | 75c | 52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…c769backed Hawaii | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe55…9d92backed Hawaii | 75c | 50.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Wyoming | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Wyoming | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5b…8882backed Wyoming | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Hawaii | 75c | 49.61$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x259f…49e3backed Hawaii | 75c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…3596backed Hawaii | 75c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce98…9815backed Hawaii | 75c | 46.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8967…9a04backed Hawaii | 75c | 45.33$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db7…ddc7backed Hawaii | 75c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52c…fb5bbacked Hawaii | 75c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef84…30dbbacked Hawaii | 75c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc36a…a9cbbacked Hawaii | 75c | 42.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e14…fcffbacked Hawaii | 75c | 42.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x097f…df92backed Wyoming | 26c | 42.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…a269backed Hawaii | 73c | 41.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df6…1849backed Wyoming | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…95d4backed Wyoming | 27c | 39.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f4…d0f6backed Hawaii | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36fb…d973backed Hawaii | 75c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe502…a279backed Hawaii | 76c | 34.13$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wyoming vs. Hawaiithis page
- O/U 44.5Under won
- Spread: Hawaii (-10.5)Hawaii won
- Spread: Hawaii (-7.5)Hawaii won
- Spread: Hawaii (-8.5)Hawaii won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.