Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Marshall Thundering Herd
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb39329b69c70730fefa6c679e927eb3dbf85f2fa7ed162d804dc6c700c533f8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marshall Thundering Herdof Western Kentucky Hilltoppers, Marshall Thundering Herd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,312
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,198
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,312 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 67c | 7,200$4,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360.15 | 116 | 62.1%72 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 30c | 2,150$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 34c | 2,074$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.1 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 35c | 1,470$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.28 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 66c | 1,280$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.29 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 80c | 1,018$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.08 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 25c | 896.56$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.36 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 36c | 749.58$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.26 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 30c | 640$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.02 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 3c | 599.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 49c | 405.25$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.01 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 52c | 371.75$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.14 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f7…c0cfbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 39c | 349.49$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 47c | 265$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.55 | 170 | 51.2%87 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 53c | 237.47$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.28 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 51c | 225$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.25 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 49c | 222.45$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 30c | 210.51$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.47 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…4e71backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 30c | 182.26$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.88 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 20c | 94.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 80c | 89.06$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 48c | 86.55$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d55…7cbabacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 30c | 69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +19.3wins | +0.27per pick | 22cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 46c | 69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 49c | 66.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 64c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11b5…0d05backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 53c | 59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 48c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 53c | 54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 98 | 71.4%70 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 128 | 53.1%68 W · 60 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 62c | 39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa754…7948backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 37c | 38.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 54c | 37.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 34c | 31.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 54c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x467b…e654backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 45c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb88…2a30backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 55c | 28.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 54c | 28.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1011…6d12backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 77c | 25.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…e0b0backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 52c | 22.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…2ce2backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 48c | 22.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 52c | 19.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b5…6a22backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 55c | 18.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.