UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Pat vs. Frye Jr. (Heavyweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7197900b9c3af22e4e389362a7668349401aa679d5275f07ef1561be82c3a361
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Patof Pat, Frye Jr.
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,787
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,787 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Frye Jr. | 20c | 13,135$2,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,627.04 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Frye Jr. | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.99 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Pat | 62c | 6,445$3,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.16 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Frye Jr. | 2c | 5,478$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.75 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Frye Jr. | 32c | 5,264$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.82 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Pat | 61c | 4,845$2,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Pat | 63c | 3,316$2,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.09 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Frye Jr. | 38c | 3,230$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.94 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db0…d3eabacked Frye Jr. | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Frye Jr. | 2c | 2,896$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.56 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pat | 64c | 1,602$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.46 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Frye Jr. | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Frye Jr. | 3c | 1,342$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Pat | 61c | 1,058$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.55 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 64cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Frye Jr. | 42c | 1,028$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.81 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…64c3backed Pat | 61c | 1,000$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.87 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Pat | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.42 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Pat | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 178 | 51.7%92 W · 86 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Frye Jr. | 37c | 849.06$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.15 | 242 | 56.2%136 W · 106 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Frye Jr. | 36c | 736.78$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.24 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Frye Jr. | 38c | 653.42$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.3 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…b10bbacked Frye Jr. | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Pat | 60c | 596.13$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.09 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Pat | 63c | 569.76$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.61 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Frye Jr. | 39c | 557.31$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.35 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Frye Jr. | 39c | 556.41$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Frye Jr. | 24c | 551.66$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.88 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Pat | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Frye Jr. | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Pat | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Frye Jr. | 30c | 382.18$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.17 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d05…6f11backed Frye Jr. | 16c | 375$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ad…a5cabacked Pat | 63c | 345.92$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.99 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2d…d491backed Frye Jr. | 44c | 341.04$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Pat | 61c | 265.38$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0174…f66fbacked Frye Jr. | 39c | 256.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Frye Jr. | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Frye Jr. | 40c | 247.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Frye Jr. | 16c | 213.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Frye Jr. | 10c | 209.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -7.0wins | -0.33per pick | 43cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Frye Jr. | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Frye Jr. | 21c | 200$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02dc…ef17backed Frye Jr. | 39c | 184.62$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…a50ebacked Pat | 80c | 181.64$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.33 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -10.5wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Pat | 62c | 181.16$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.56 | 132 | 67.4%89 W · 43 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Frye Jr. | 36c | 179.73$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.7 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Frye Jr. | 37c | 178.12$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.58 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b2…5098backed Pat | 61c | 169.25$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Pat | 62c | 148.39$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.39 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc028…c7abbacked Frye Jr. | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38e…0b87backed Frye Jr. | 39c | 130.77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…802abacked Frye Jr. | 39c | 128.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Frye Jr. | 47c | 121.24$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.47 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x980c…74cebacked Pat | 62c | 120.97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.97 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Pat | 60c | 118.87$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.55 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e4…c797backed Frye Jr. | 39c | 110.29$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9083…d27bbacked Frye Jr. | 24c | 105.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 151 | 39.7%60 W · 91 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Frye Jr. | 17c | 100.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4209…7582backed Frye Jr. | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdd…11bebacked Frye Jr. | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…3984backed Pat | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Pat | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Frye Jr. | 37c | 83.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7604…78b5backed Frye Jr. | 41c | 81.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Pat | 63c | 68.25$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f0…8cdbbacked Frye Jr. | 41c | 61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Pat | 62c | 60.52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 76 | 71.1%54 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c78…1af0backed Pat | 63c | 52.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e50…7a6bbacked Frye Jr. | 39c | 50.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Frye Jr. | 39c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 167 | 36.5%61 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…f087backed Frye Jr. | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74f4…d0f6backed Pat | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…aafdbacked Frye Jr. | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a64…b5a9backed Frye Jr. | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b69…c635backed Pat | 59c | 46.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…6598backed Pat | 80c | 41.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Frye Jr. | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Pat | 61c | 35.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…6c1dbacked Pat | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9904…c9b1backed Pat | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Frye Jr. | 38c | 32.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 194 | 18.6%36 W · 158 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe615…6819backed Pat | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 150 | 62.7%94 W · 56 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…5196backed Pat | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f49…231dbacked Pat | 61c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…7045backed Frye Jr. | 47c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbda7…3e66backed Frye Jr. | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fc…1e14backed Pat | 62c | 24.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…c3b9backed Pat | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ed…ce26backed Pat | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 242 | 61.6%149 W · 93 L | +17.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…2b20backed Pat | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…87b0backed Pat | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…a08bbacked Pat | 61c | 18.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Pat vs. Frye Jr. (Heavyweight, Main Card)this page
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.