UFC · resolved market

UFC 323: Naimov vs. Santos (Featherweight, Early Prelims)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23948af06755fb2b8551c4a618d51aa8205d89942fb060ac8cd4daa22a1f0d66

Rebuilt 25 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Santosof Naimov, Santos
Resolved: Dec 6, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $74,288
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $85,722

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,288 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x20a8…f004backed Santos	74c	6,000$4,427 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,573.05	209	54.1%113 W · 96 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Naimov	25c	5,668$1,433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,432.73	201	39.8%80 W · 121 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Naimov	23c	5,651$1,314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,313.62	40	40%16 W · 24 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Naimov	33c	4,994$1,648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,648.04	300	39.3%118 W · 182 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab8…e88ebacked Naimov	35c	4,640$1,641 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,641	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+27%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7fa…44e5backed Santos	69c	3,175$2,190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$984.94	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Santos	73c	2,550$1,862 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$688.5	280	43.2%121 W · 159 L	+10.6wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Naimov	31c	2,057$642 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$642.13	137	35.8%49 W · 88 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Naimov	19c	1,958$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371.98	62	40.3%25 W · 37 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Santos	67c	1,810$1,213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$597.3	185	60%111 W · 74 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Santos	68c	1,722$1,174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$548.07	56	57.1%32 W · 24 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Santos	69c	1,536$1,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$475.7	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+2.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Santos	64c	1,511$967 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$543.93	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Naimov	30c	1,500$455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$455	420	42.6%179 W · 241 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Santos	69c	1,450$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$449.5	80	58.8%47 W · 33 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Santos	69c	1,449$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$449.28	69	37.7%26 W · 43 L	-7.6wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Santos	70c	1,200$840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$360.11	78	43.6%34 W · 44 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e58…3864backed Santos	67c	946.85$634 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312.46	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Naimov	30c	920.48$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.25	156	41%64 W · 92 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Naimov	30c	886$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.3	180	38.9%70 W · 110 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x915d…65f9backed Naimov	34c	880$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.2	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-3.8wins	-0.18per pick	42cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x467e…4343backed Naimov	32c	800$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa253…7630backed Santos	65c	789.12$513 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276.59	52	40.4%21 W · 31 L	-3.7wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-15%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Santos	67c	759.09$509 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250.5	288	49.7%143 W · 145 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Naimov	32c	681$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.92	89	40.4%36 W · 53 L	+4.9wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Santos	66c	636$420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.24	332	53.3%177 W · 155 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Naimov	31c	635.08$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	113	32.7%37 W · 76 L	-9.4wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4889…e2d8backed Santos	67c	600$402 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198	356	64.6%230 W · 126 L	+9.3wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bdf…64c3backed Naimov	35c	576.11$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	60	60%36 W · 24 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0506…8c6abacked Naimov	20c	504.55$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	167	46.1%77 W · 90 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30b8…f41fbacked Naimov	30c	501.42$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.93	77	36.4%28 W · 49 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc89d…5909backed Santos	67c	500$335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-2.4wins	-0.16per pick	56cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x09d1…9d8fbacked Naimov	33c	399.98$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.99	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Santos	67c	377.32$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.55	124	46.8%58 W · 66 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Naimov	15c	373.06$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.89	88	40.9%36 W · 52 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d1b…f055backed Naimov	34c	305.88$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-2.0wins	-0.20per pick	30cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7316…4686backed Naimov	34c	305.88$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Naimov	33c	300$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	325	45.2%147 W · 178 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Naimov	32c	291.31$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.22	68	50%34 W · 34 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b26…c9afbacked Santos	70c	263.99$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.2	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Santos	67c	254.13$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.86	139	53.2%74 W · 65 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75ce…0a6fbacked Naimov	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-2.1wins	-0.11per pick	32cpaid	-55.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Santos	69c	244.84$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.9	399	59.6%238 W · 161 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked Santos	73c	243.42$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.99	522	52.9%276 W · 246 L	+15.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf585…f3a6backed Naimov	15c	241.19$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d9…717bbacked Santos	67c	238.82$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.81	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc3e…37efbacked Naimov	7c	230$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.1	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Santos	76c	225$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	105	22.9%24 W · 81 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Naimov	30c	222.87$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.86	515	33.6%173 W · 342 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Naimov	21c	209.32$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.91	331	32%106 W · 225 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Santos	67c	200$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66	564	50.5%285 W · 279 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Naimov	31c	177.33$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.88	72	33.3%24 W · 48 L	-5.0wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x30de…849ebacked Naimov	32c	174.53$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.85	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Santos	74c	167$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.42	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2548…b424backed Naimov	32c	156.4$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6512…5291backed Naimov	34c	150$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.26per pick	54cpaid	+45.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x156b…baa0backed Naimov	30c	150$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.25	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x146a…36fabacked Naimov	34c	147.06$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	75	52%39 W · 36 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bee…ca01backed Naimov	34c	147.06$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x45b0…ceebbacked Naimov	31c	140.42$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	29	72.4%21 W · 8 L	+4.3wins	+0.15per pick	57cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbc40…c795backed Naimov	33c	138.54$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.63	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9020…2cfcbacked Naimov	19c	132.32$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.14	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe26b…a9ecbacked Naimov	33c	130.3$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1986…cf16backed Naimov	36c	130$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.8	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-3.2wins	-0.29per pick	56cpaid	-56.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Santos	70c	125$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.5	261	40.6%106 W · 155 L	-9.8wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Naimov	32c	119.98$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.39	487	49.1%239 W · 248 L	-8.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd708…b9d2backed Naimov	35c	114.71$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-2.0wins	-0.24per pick	62cpaid	-46.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Santos	68c	113.24$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.24	46	65.2%30 W · 16 L	+4.6wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9945…1ef5backed Naimov	23c	107.21$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	50	20%10 W · 40 L	-5.6wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf693…202fbacked Santos	69c	100$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31	28	60.7%17 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x929c…8cb6backed Santos	67c	100$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33	111	52.3%58 W · 53 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09cb…218ebacked Santos	71c	100$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+2.1wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	+45.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9efb…82e5backed Naimov	30c	100$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Santos	67c	100$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33	104	51.9%54 W · 50 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ed0…92debacked Naimov	19c	100$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	122	45.1%55 W · 67 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3936…c1c8backed Naimov	34c	88.24$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe005…e523backed Naimov	34c	88.14$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Naimov	30c	82.74$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.82	109	28.4%31 W · 78 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36bc…ec72backed Naimov	31c	80.65$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	158	48.1%76 W · 82 L	+9.1wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+10%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67c3…5cc8backed Santos	69c	80$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.8	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9270…7c9ebacked Naimov	31c	79.89$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.47	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+52.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Naimov	32c	78$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.96	96	36.5%35 W · 61 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x19e2…ccc7backed Naimov	32c	75.09$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.03	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f44…bc79backed Naimov	34c	75$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	67	29.9%20 W · 47 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Naimov	15c	75$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.25	93	36.6%34 W · 59 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee44…0082backed Santos	69c	72.46$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.46	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3771…692dbacked Santos	71c	70.42$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.42	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	66cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6470…aac7backed Santos	71c	70.42$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.42	21	66.7%14 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cdd…11bebacked Naimov	31c	70$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.88	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Naimov	32c	62.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	54	31.5%17 W · 37 L	-5.8wins	-0.11per pick	42cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaa4a…d651backed Naimov	33c	60.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Santos	70c	56.81$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.81	95	58.9%56 W · 39 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab33…cf5dbacked Santos	71c	56.34$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.34	107	62.6%67 W · 40 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f52…8e12backed Santos	71c	56.34$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.34	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed Santos	74c	54.62$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.2	81	43.2%35 W · 46 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd16…0be8backed Santos	67c	52.24$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.24	68	51.5%35 W · 33 L	+4.0wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Naimov	33c	50$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Naimov	28c	50$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	248	62.5%155 W · 93 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Naimov	30c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	167	36.5%61 W · 106 L	-7.1wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Naimov	29c	49.45$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.34	194	18.6%36 W · 158 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

UFC 323: Naimov vs. Santos (Featherweight, Early Prelims)this page
Fight to Go the Distance?No won
O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

UFC 323: Naimov vs. Santos (Featherweight, Early Prelims)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event