CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs FOLHA AMARELA (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28e71a985a1e42978e2e910c7c4951f3907d6a4e28633db6dc99cf749e935f67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ShindeNof ShindeN, FOLHA AMARELA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed ShindeN | 63c | 6,637$4,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,455.71 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 37c | 3,881$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.01 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed FOLHA AMARELA | 2c | 942$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed FOLHA AMARELA | 37c | 789.19$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…9fd2backed FOLHA AMARELA | 37c | 756.76$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked ShindeN | 64c | 431$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.16 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdb…6560backed FOLHA AMARELA | 37c | 402.7$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 37c | 360$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08f7…d16abacked FOLHA AMARELA | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed FOLHA AMARELA | 36c | 159.38$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.38 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed FOLHA AMARELA | 21c | 130$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked FOLHA AMARELA | 36c | 125$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…1550backed FOLHA AMARELA | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdd…11bebacked FOLHA AMARELA | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 37c | 75.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…b5a5backed FOLHA AMARELA | 18c | 58.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +18.3wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed FOLHA AMARELA | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked ShindeN | 57c | 50.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…13ccbacked ShindeN | 80c | 33.74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs FOLHA AMARELA (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs FOLHA AMARELA - Map 1 WinnerShindeN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.