UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Horth vs. Bleda (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1c58415ae07ce8908b0283ba50e73fd267b40ffe15e441e4d2cbe0882e3e29a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Horthof Horth, Bleda
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,214
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Horth | 36c | 78,054$28,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,864.59 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Bleda | 66c | 60,000$39,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,600 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Bleda | 61c | 35,000$21,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,350 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Horth | 34c | 20,000$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,200 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1b…724fbacked Bleda | 61c | 6,000$3,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,630 | 49 | 81.6%40 W · 9 L | +7.8wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bleda | 66c | 5,996$3,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,954.02 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Horth | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Horth | 38c | 4,473$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,784.35 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…964dbacked Bleda | 4c | 3,900$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Horth | 39c | 2,520$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.25 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Horth | 40c | 2,406$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.6 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Horth | 36c | 2,325$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.62 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Horth | 33c | 2,258$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.3 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Horth | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb07…0769backed Bleda | 4c | 1,800$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…b287backed Bleda | 1c | 1,733$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Horth | 33c | 1,700$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.98 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Bleda | 62c | 1,554$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.93 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Horth | 39c | 1,538$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.18 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefa8…a55abacked Bleda | 67c | 1,488$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Bleda | 64c | 1,128$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.78 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bleda | 67c | 1,018$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.63 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Bleda | 66c | 1,001$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.69 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…64c3backed Bleda | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Bleda | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.9 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…6f5ebacked Horth | 40c | 958.79$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.27 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Bleda | 66c | 843.84$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.93 | 92 | 28.3%26 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Bleda | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed Horth | 80c | 787.81$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.56 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f8…7fa1backed Bleda | 61c | 600$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Bleda | 66c | 587$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.42 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa253…7630backed Bleda | 57c | 543.56$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.31 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Horth | 40c | 444.27$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.66 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…5240backed Bleda | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bleda | 20c | 417.96$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.51 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7762…309ebacked Bleda | 64c | 409$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.76 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed Bleda | 66c | 403.29$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.17 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Horth | 38c | 383.83$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.23 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Bleda | 60c | 362.5$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.5 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Bleda | 69c | 358.03$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc007…1639backed Horth | 40c | 354.84$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Horth | 35c | 337.54$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30b8…f41fbacked Horth | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Bleda | 67c | 300$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Horth | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Horth | 40c | 297.86$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.15 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Horth | 34c | 292.61$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.12 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Horth | 31c | 262.32$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Bleda | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7263…9422backed Horth | 43c | 232.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Horth | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Horth | 39c | 209.15$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.58 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Bleda | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6470…aac7backed Bleda | 62c | 173.52$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.59 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Bleda | 67c | 170.15$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb66…8990backed Horth | 41c | 160$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fa…24edbacked Bleda | 59c | 160$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…9c15backed Bleda | 59c | 160$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ae…9910backed Horth | 41c | 160$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…5c00backed Bleda | 63c | 159.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf09…0bbbbacked Horth | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Horth | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 148 | 27%40 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…5d00backed Bleda | 59c | 150$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Horth | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…5196backed Horth | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked Bleda | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd16…0be8backed Bleda | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…3984backed Bleda | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Bleda | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…0f22backed Bleda | 62c | 91$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Bleda | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaade…64eabacked Horth | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Horth | 36c | 88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.45 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Horth | 30c | 86.21$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7604…78b5backed Bleda | 60c | 84.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc64a…ed3cbacked Bleda | 62c | 80.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02f3…0a58backed Horth | 38c | 79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2d…d491backed Bleda | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4291…b6bdbacked Horth | 39c | 75.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.96 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Horth | 40c | 70$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2e…3e5abacked Bleda | 63c | 63.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Horth | 42c | 60.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.57 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdd…11bebacked Bleda | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Horth | 38c | 53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Horth | 35c | 51.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Bleda | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…5092backed Horth | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf90c…f49cbacked Bleda | 61c | 49.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f4…d0f6backed Bleda | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a3…ccd8backed Horth | 39c | 48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Horth | 30c | 44.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…7045backed Horth | 39c | 44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Bleda | 65c | 43.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…02d6backed Horth | 39c | 43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9083…d27bbacked Bleda | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 151 | 39.7%60 W · 91 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e50…7a6bbacked Bleda | 66c | 40.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Horth | 38c | 40.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 167 | 36.5%61 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbda7…3e66backed Horth | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Bleda | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Bleda | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Horth vs. Bleda (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)this page
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Jamey-Lyn Horth win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will Tereza Bleda win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.