College Football · resolved market
Rutgers vs. Ohio State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7995dd343659102b89d0a8926f9411b0667860530fe29ade833198b394e8a5b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ohio Stateof Rutgers, Ohio State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Rutgers | 2c | 15,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Rutgers | 0c | 7,805$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 49 | 0%0 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Rutgers | 2c | 6,645$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.77 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Rutgers | 4c | 5,044$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…4030backed Rutgers | 2c | 2,385$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.24 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a99…2e19backed Rutgers | 3c | 1,695$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Rutgers | 2c | 1,563$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf304…3d3ebacked Rutgers | 3c | 1,538$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…d559backed Rutgers | 2c | 1,477$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…0aa5backed Rutgers | 3c | 1,157$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf071…cbcbbacked Rutgers | 3c | 1,104$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98fc…ecf9backed Rutgers | 2c | 1,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac01…2d77backed Rutgers | 2c | 999.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb449…547dbacked Rutgers | 3c | 946.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -52%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2433…10acbacked Rutgers | 3c | 789.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b1f…3113backed Rutgers | 3c | 769.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Rutgers | 3c | 745.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Rutgers | 3c | 740.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…39c7backed Rutgers | 3c | 640.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Rutgers | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rutgers vs. Ohio Statethis page
- Rutgers vs. Ohio State: O/U 54.5Under won
- Rutgers vs. Ohio State: O/U 55.5Under won
- Spread: Ohio State (-31.5)Ohio State won
- Spread: Ohio State (-32.5)Ohio State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.