College Football · resolved market
Spread: Ohio State (-31.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72c4e7e98cdb05bd50066f6c92ab703d176a61d5bdaae2aef1ed92ed18f1ca6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ohio Stateof Ohio State, Rutgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,961
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,961 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Rutgers | 53c | 26,449$13,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,938.44 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Ohio State | 51c | 25,457$12,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,498.88 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Rutgers | 49c | 20,046$9,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,919.81 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Ohio State | 47c | 13,394$6,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,098.91 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Ohio State | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ohio State | 48c | 2,995$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.41 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Ohio State | 42c | 2,214$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.1 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Rutgers | 58c | 1,900$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…8ae8backed Ohio State | 49c | 1,715$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.67 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Ohio State | 43c | 1,400$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Rutgers | 57c | 1,400$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Rutgers | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 224 | 37.5%84 W · 140 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Rutgers | 50c | 599.98$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.99 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Ohio State | 52c | 556.43$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.17 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Ohio State | 50c | 389.52$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.76 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Rutgers | 56c | 294.95$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.07 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Ohio State | 47c | 258$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.74 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Ohio State | 52c | 247.5$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Ohio State | 49c | 204$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.04 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Rutgers | 50c | 193.62$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ohio State | 46c | 158.82$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.78 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcec…5d1cbacked Ohio State | 52c | 133.19$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Rutgers | 48c | 105$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…18debacked Rutgers | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Ohio State | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d3…ada0backed Ohio State | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd47b…c715backed Ohio State | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd923…f400backed Ohio State | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa9…bad5backed Rutgers | 51c | 23.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Ohio State (-31.5)this page
- Rutgers vs. Ohio StateOhio State won
- Rutgers vs. Ohio State: O/U 54.5Under won
- Rutgers vs. Ohio State: O/U 55.5Under won
- Spread: Ohio State (-32.5)Ohio State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.