Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c5db750ee57a00ad85d4ca014f9fc22173864fc8aacbfeb8c445a34b79e1544
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Hurricanesof North Carolina Tar Heels, Miami Hurricanes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 48c | 4,290$2,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,056.1 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Miami Hurricanes | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Miami Hurricanes | 51c | 2,333$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.17 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 48c | 2,086$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.5 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Miami Hurricanes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Miami Hurricanes | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Miami Hurricanes | 51c | 535.16$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.23 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Miami Hurricanes | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Miami Hurricanes | 52c | 493$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.64 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…39c7backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 48c | 452.67$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.54 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Miami Hurricanes | 51c | 392.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.14 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Miami Hurricanes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Miami Hurricanes | 52c | 373.58$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.32 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 49c | 212.24$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…1218backed Miami Hurricanes | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…1950backed Miami Hurricanes | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Miami Hurricanes | 53c | 188.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.82 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked North Carolina Tar Heels | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c12…b8f3backed Miami Hurricanes | 52c | 88.46$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.46 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 47c | 74.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x372d…a119backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 43c | 59.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 49c | 42.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d89…e466backed Miami Hurricanes | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fb…b328backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 46c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed North Carolina Tar Heels | 49c | 31.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami Hurricanes | 56c | 23.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Miami Hurricanes | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 191 | 38.2%73 W · 118 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-1.5)this page
- North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Miami HurricanesMiami Hurricanes won
- North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Miami Hurricanes: O/U 156.5Under won
- North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Miami Hurricanes: O/U 157.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.