Olympics · resolved market
Men's Group C - USA vs. Denmark
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44dc279432a1a7a92ba63af3cbf4d61abaa497da3f40255581c643f0509d86dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- USAof USA, Denmark
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $695,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $715,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $695,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Denmark | 8c | 285,337$23,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,351.09 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Denmark | 16c | 60,785$9,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,803.84 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Denmark | 0c | 28,534$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Denmark | 3c | 25,022$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.28 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Denmark | 5c | 14,038$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.88 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Denmark | 4c | 12,463$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.66 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…81c2backed Denmark | 2c | 11,252$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.04 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Denmark | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Denmark | 4c | 9,563$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.12 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Denmark | 8c | 8,452$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.17 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…01e0backed Denmark | 4c | 8,000$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Denmark | 15c | 7,000$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.32 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Denmark | 5c | 5,308$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.02 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Denmark | 1c | 5,235$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.57 | 244 | 8.2%20 W · 224 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Denmark | 10c | 5,156$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Denmark | 7c | 4,012$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.55 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Denmark | 1c | 3,990$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Denmark | 3c | 3,715$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.15 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Denmark | 7c | 3,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Denmark | 7c | 2,810$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.71 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Denmark | 4c | 2,613$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.11 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked Denmark | 7c | 2,372$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.94 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Denmark | 7c | 2,140$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.8 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Denmark | 6c | 2,075$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.89 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Denmark | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Denmark | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…c503backed Denmark | 6c | 1,852$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…fc8cbacked Denmark | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ff…2561backed Denmark | 3c | 1,625$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4095…1675backed Denmark | 5c | 1,600$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Denmark | 5c | 1,405$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Denmark | 7c | 1,111$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Denmark | 11c | 1,088$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.6 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…f6cebacked Denmark | 16c | 1,023$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Denmark | 7c | 971.22$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Denmark | 13c | 941.67$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.56 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Denmark | 8c | 871.83$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.8 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Denmark | 5c | 850.64$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Denmark | 18c | 843.18$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Denmark | 15c | 809.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.11 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca5…b91cbacked Denmark | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0e…3beabacked Denmark | 6c | 744.29$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Denmark | 5c | 742.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Denmark | 7c | 720.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed USA | 75c | 666$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Denmark | 6c | 600$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Denmark | 16c | 560.8$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.56 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Denmark | 9c | 527.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Denmark | 7c | 523$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb194…1063backed Denmark | 12c | 510.77$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Denmark | 14c | 500$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…fa57backed Denmark | 7c | 499.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Denmark | 4c | 499.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Denmark | 4c | 487.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0b…44fdbacked Denmark | 16c | 466.73$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Denmark | 17c | 400$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Denmark | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Denmark | 8c | 373.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…dbc5backed Denmark | 16c | 368.38$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x467b…e654backed Denmark | 5c | 363.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Denmark | 8c | 351.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6296…ade5backed Denmark | 5c | 350$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec8…16d2backed Denmark | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Denmark | 9c | 320$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf664…2c0cbacked Denmark | 15c | 318.34$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…221dbacked Denmark | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe08c…4f19backed Denmark | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed USA | 73c | 274.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.18 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Denmark | 7c | 262.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…39c7backed Denmark | 19c | 261.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Denmark | 7c | 258.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Denmark | 6c | 256.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Denmark | 5c | 210$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Denmark | 11c | 207.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…f8debacked Denmark | 10c | 202.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…a81dbacked Denmark | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f58…e0b6backed Denmark | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…8dd8backed Denmark | 7c | 195$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Denmark | 12c | 192.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…319bbacked Denmark | 16c | 192.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe737…64c1backed USA | 80c | 171$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19c5…511dbacked Denmark | 15c | 136.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07bf…bc57backed Denmark | 15c | 122.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa05c…aa9bbacked Denmark | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc8…e126backed Denmark | 9c | 109.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf4…1150backed Denmark | 14c | 107.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed USA | 75c | 96$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…55b8backed Denmark | 16c | 91.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…dc73backed Denmark | 18c | 76.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed USA | 79c | 76.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Men's Group C - USA vs. Denmarkthis page
- Spread: USA (-1.5)USA won
- USA vs. Denmark: O/U 5.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.