Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb908819e39cc93522187cf698aa10cccffcd728714af66ef1f13ab99a6daf35c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ohio State Buckeyesof Virginia Cavaliers, Ohio State Buckeyes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Virginia Cavaliers | 54c | 9,000$4,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,859.99 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 46c | 7,723$3,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,170.52 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 53c | 3,890$2,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,062.9 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Virginia Cavaliers | 51c | 508.97$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.57 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 46c | 378$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.57 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…39c7backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 49c | 372.39$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.92 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 39c | 371.41$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.85 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 61c | 371.41$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.85 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Virginia Cavaliers | 53c | 310.22$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.82 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 49c | 307$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.57 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 48c | 304.45$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.16 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 38c | 249.67$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.67 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…3851backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 58c | 240.19$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.8 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 54c | 192.07$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.06 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 46c | 127$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.58 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 48c | 122.94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.37 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Virginia Cavaliers | 48c | 105.73$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Virginia Cavaliers | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Virginia Cavaliers | 31c | 89.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Virginia Cavaliers | 55c | 47.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ec…27c4backed Ohio State Buckeyes | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ohio State Buckeyes | 53c | 22.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Virginia Cavaliers | 50c | 22.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 120 | 34.2%41 W · 79 L | -13.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-4.5)this page
- Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Virginia CavaliersVirginia Cavaliers won
- Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 145.5Under won
- Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 146.5Under won
- Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 148.5Under won
- Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-3.5)Virginia Cavaliers won
- Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-5.5)Ohio State Buckeyes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.