TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,926
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,695

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,926 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb9c7…aadebacked Over59c38,845$22,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,926.453847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc336…02abbacked Under41c18,144$7,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,439.04560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Under18c10,547$1,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,918.758841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over68c7,365$4,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,379.7889355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under41c6,640$2,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,706.051,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Under41c6,000$2,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,46050049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked Under41c5,000$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0503246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under35c5,000$1,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,772.6239344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over60c4,102$2,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,645.3228749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over72c2,216$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.462,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Under41c1,950$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.544551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under40c1,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60091945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1847…d94abacked Under25c1,307$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.531080%8 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+78.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under39c1,061$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.713841.3%57 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over61c1,061$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.6912152.9%64 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under41c1,017$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.249258.7%54 W · 38 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under40c999.99$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.991,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under41c857.62$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.6576950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over71c825.58$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.8714254.9%78 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over76c779.22$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.3112357.7%71 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over72c767.62$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.791,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Over63c684.8$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.388345.8%38 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Under23c681.25$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.39321.5%20 W · 73 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under40c658.37$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.3511952.1%62 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over68c589.4$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.773,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under41c548$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.6838147.2%180 W · 201 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under18c503$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.61,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bba…49babacked Under23c439.51$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab4d…3f0bbacked Over60c416.67$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.671145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under41c388.3$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.233554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Under29c360$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.8713336.1%48 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca4…aa92backed Under41c341.46$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1403842.1%16 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x505a…bb61backed Over60c328.83$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.534050%20 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Under31c322.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7624837.9%94 W · 154 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over77c322.29$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.48469%58 W · 26 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under41c282.56$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.853831.6%12 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under41c263.41$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10835829.3%105 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under36c221.94$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8461848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x085b…ab9fbacked Under23c217$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.913231.3%10 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over71c199.59$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0521355.4%118 W · 95 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under32c197.96$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4282353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Under35c191.43$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.77642.1%32 W · 44 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9a9…5c31backed Over78c190.92$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.291435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Over60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671675%12 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+33.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcbef…0c11backed Over60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.677861.5%48 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c67…a479backed Over64c159.84$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.542470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x36d0…8dcebacked Over60c150$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6018046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over59c145.7$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7447753.9%257 W · 220 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbaac…ff10backed Over60c140$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x697e…9904backed Under38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+149%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Under17c127.3$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.13714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-66.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over75c119.83$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0514855.4%82 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under35c118.36$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.735551%181 W · 174 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over63c105$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8538551.4%198 W · 187 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over67c100.33$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4262447.3%295 W · 329 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe658…2c42backed Under41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414725.5%12 W · 35 L-7.6wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-39.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under31c99.2$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2629533.6%99 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over76c96.02$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0149851%254 W · 244 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over76c91.43$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.944351.2%22 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under34c86.79$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.641,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over60c77.9$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.164477.3%34 W · 10 L+8.6wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+28.2%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under24c76.62$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7310047%47 W · 53 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x456a…6a90backed Over63c70.23$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.994447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under35c70$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.55149%25 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed Over60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6710256.9%58 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xba5e…e6cebacked Under36c65.68$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Over60c65$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268347%39 W · 44 L-9.4wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-21.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under41c61.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.114353.1%76 W · 67 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5617…a1f2backed Over71c58.92$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under20c56.6$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5599638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over60c50.73$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2942558.6%249 W · 176 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Under30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf4c…21babacked Under41c46.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over79c43.56$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1514045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bf1…ba08backed Over80c40$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked Over63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.755556.4%31 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under41c30.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.79755.7%54 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Over77c27.48$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.451877.8%14 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+25.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9abb…3f96backed Over73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.49562.1%59 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a09…4a73backed Over75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.67250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc3b…d591backed Over63c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.251877.8%14 W · 4 L+4.5wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+48%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x3eb4…9cb8backed Under41c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.251747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5a8…daabbacked Over63c23.94$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Over60c22.12$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8510148.5%49 W · 52 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff66…39cfbacked Over69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.31485.7%12 W · 2 L+3.8wins+0.27per pick59cpaid+55.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3834…d360backed Over60c17.88$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.152100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb87…63f8backed Over62c17.48$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.642100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Over78c17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.7212045.8%55 W · 65 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbcfe…4b94backed Over74c16.74$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.29955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…3107backed Over77c13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.99977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick74cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.