NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f24e3f9714aa7cbae249a6a208251d91255a44f1ad62e27a4f135c13d98050f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $206,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $210,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb9c7…aadebacked Over | 47c | 113,527$53,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,357.66 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc336…02abbacked Under | 53c | 86,473$45,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,642.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Under | 48c | 29,852$14,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,446.03 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 52c | 22,261$11,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,685.33 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 53c | 17,198$9,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,065.15 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Over | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 53c | 7,500$3,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,525 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked Under | 49c | 7,055$3,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,575.83 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 53c | 7,001$3,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,290.47 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 48c | 7,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Under | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.99 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 5,737$2,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,753.88 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Over | 47c | 4,074$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.17 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Over | 49c | 2,835$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.98 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 55c | 2,633$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.82 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Under | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Under | 51c | 1,721$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Over | 4c | 1,588$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.27 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Under | 53c | 1,510$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.7 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55bb…bc01backed Under | 65c | 1,199$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 50c | 980.41$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.44 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over | 56c | 915.57$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.37 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 49c | 849.43$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.22 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 59c | 831.88$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.08 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Under | 71c | 785.69$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.33 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 52c | 772.36$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.36 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 48c | 735.55$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.99 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 52c | 714.95$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.13 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…d8acbacked Over | 62c | 706.35$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Over | 57c | 601.69$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.03 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Under | 51c | 599.96$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 551.03$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.98 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 45c | 529.27$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.86 | 248 | 37.9%94 W · 154 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…3f0bbacked Over | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 29c | 509.66$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.12 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Over | 48c | 501$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.48 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 53c | 449.56$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.16 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Over | 46c | 402.72$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.66 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 43c | 400$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 50c | 399.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x565a…3207backed Under | 43c | 396.13$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.13 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Over | 45c | 389.61$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.43 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 46c | 351.53$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.7 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 53c | 321.09$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.91 | 143 | 53.1%76 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Under | 53c | 315.62$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.34 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…e965backed Under | 65c | 307.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.73 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Over | 63c | 305.61$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.88 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 46c | 299.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.99 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Over | 65c | 284.98$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.24 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Under | 53c | 264.15$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.15 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Under | 53c | 258.46$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 69c | 248.99$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 103 | 67%69 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe67…dd7ebacked Over | 48c | 238.54$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 49c | 223.33$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.89 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Over | 24c | 215$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Under | 45c | 210.42$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.81 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2af…e3bcbacked Over | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Over | 53c | 208$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.59 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -8.4wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 58c | 202.79$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.71 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.57 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 52c | 199.96$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.09 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 53c | 199.92$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.32 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 50c | 197.97$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.65 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 47c | 197$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.59 | 477 | 53.9%257 W · 220 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 52c | 193.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.42 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…03c2backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Over | 57c | 182.72$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.61 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Over | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Over | 60c | 141.36$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.85 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Under | 35c | 138.06$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.74 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd384…61b9backed Under | 53c | 133.96$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 77c | 127.02$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.19 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 58c | 124$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.28 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Over | 52c | 123$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.95 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d01…85c3backed Under | 52c | 115.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cf…8a4fbacked Under | 53c | 113.46$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 38c | 113.1$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6b…b245backed Under | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd805…d22dbacked Under | 53c | 101.43$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 51c | 100.18$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.61 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 397 | 51.1%203 W · 194 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Under | 54c | 98.81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 50c | 97.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…e6cebacked Under | 51c | 96.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…a1bfbacked Under | 52c | 96.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 50c | 91.61$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…ed2bbacked Over | 63c | 89.2$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080b…5b74backed Under | 53c | 88.4$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a09…4a73backed Over | 39c | 86.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc429…1c89backed Under | 54c | 84.03$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.03 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Over | 51c | 78.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34ed…467abacked Under | 65c | 75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1d…7ff3backed Over | 33c | 74.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 59c | 74.24$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5this page
- Golden Knights vs. DucksGolden Knights won
- Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Golden Knights won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.