Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3895c2c45fb8af426fc209872dda2474582f275ac8dd4bfa4004154658d2df6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $164,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $156,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6c4…6678backed No | 78c | 34,176$26,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,656.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 16c | 23,674$3,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,776.15 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 51c | 10,506$5,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,148.02 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 33c | 9,163$3,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,030.05 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 37c | 9,014$3,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,655.58 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 45c | 7,899$3,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,534.6 | 227 | 45.8%104 W · 123 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 22c | 6,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,680 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Yes | 51c | 5,253$2,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,574 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 22c | 5,211$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,064.38 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 22c | 3,611$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,816.19 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Yes | 21c | 3,263$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,577.8 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 22c | 3,200$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,496 | 105 | 21.9%23 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 57c | 2,421$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.21 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked No | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed No | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 22c | 1,991$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.32 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed No | 80c | 1,970$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.55 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 17c | 1,928$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.36 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Yes | 22c | 1,746$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 47c | 1,616$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.14 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 54c | 1,502$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.04 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 36c | 1,406$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.26 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 22c | 1,400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes | 26c | 1,197$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.91 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 22c | 1,136$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.08 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 22c | 1,136$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.08 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 78c | 1,122$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.9 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 42c | 1,100$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked No | 46c | 988.71$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked No | 38c | 931.86$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 23c | 839.99$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.3 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 22c | 811$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.58 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 78c | 799.95$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.96 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 70c | 779.57$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.24 | 150 | 71.3%107 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Yes | 69c | 760.5$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.61 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2c…86bcbacked Yes | 51c | 726.22$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 22c | 722$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.16 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 22c | 681$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.18 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 78c | 605.46$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.12 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 22c | 603.9$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.04 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 22c | 600$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 67c | 567.11$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.35 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 66c | 525.3$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.44 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x279a…ffc2backed Yes | 23c | 525$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 22c | 520$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.6 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked Yes | 22c | 499.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.99 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170e…aa0dbacked No | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed No | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed No | 48c | 395.81$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.93 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 49c | 392.4$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.92 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…c5c8backed No | 45c | 378$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.75 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Yes | 55c | 353.12$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.66 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 43c | 321.14$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.09 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 22c | 314$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.92 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 42c | 275.11$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.34 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 78c | 269.55$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.25 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Yes | 54c | 268.7$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.27 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 79c | 266.11$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.23 | 129 | 63.6%82 W · 47 L | +12.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0a…77b5backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked No | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +330.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed No | 42c | 242$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.85 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Yes | 54c | 233.3$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2784…e60abacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed No | 49c | 216.06$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.87 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Yes | 22c | 207.89$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.15 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 79c | 200$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked No | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +139.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Yes | 23c | 196.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.68 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed No | 80c | 196.44$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.04 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1548…fe8ebacked No | 78c | 184.76$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.11 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 62c | 180.55$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.17 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -8.8wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 67c | 169.39$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.76 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 21c | 162$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4392…0da3backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…73dbbacked Yes | 62c | 156.82$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.59 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a65…fcb5backed No | 52c | 155.67$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 47c | 150.89$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.62 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaac…ff10backed No | 78c | 150$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 67c | 149.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.79 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -4.8wins | -0.16per pick | 67cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 33c | 143.57$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 28c | 143$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed No | 55c | 142.54$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked No | 77c | 139.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 47c | 135.63$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.61 | 181 | 55.2%100 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…a647backed No | 77c | 129.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 78c | 128$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 76cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 79c | 120$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed No | 78c | 116.1$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.56 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed No | 51c | 115$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked No | 28c | 110$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c7…c6bdbacked Yes | 62c | 110$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +38%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed No | 24c | 109.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 54c | 107.65$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.52 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa386…cb0fbacked Yes | 23c | 104$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 100.75$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.58 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-10?this page
- Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-10?No won
- Will Toulouse FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.