MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb07fd80df1b03962143cd1b61ff39e0bbe764e4d783e3fc535cd46a2cb4219f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,063
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,063 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 45c | 6,634$2,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,968.62 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 53c | 6,540$3,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,073.58 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 50c | 3,963$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.65 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 35c | 3,199$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.49 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 59c | 3,041$1,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.28 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 52c | 2,421$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.68 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 16c | 1,679$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.08 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 52c | 1,667$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.16 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 1,650$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.27 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Under | 53c | 1,634$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.98 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 48c | 1,580$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.8 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 48c | 1,421$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.01 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 1,408$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.64 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 50c | 1,034$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.67 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 47c | 1,026$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.66 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 800$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 52c | 749.56$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.86 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 58c | 736.21$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.21 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 53c | 656.97$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.78 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 66c | 639.69$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.06 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Over | 53c | 633.22$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.61 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Over | 48c | 624.25$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.64 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99eb…0464backed Over | 70c | 600$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 49c | 599.98$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.99 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 48c | 590.18$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.29 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…cd84backed Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 53c | 369.49$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.29 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 47c | 367.64$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.7 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3a…7fdcbacked Under | 13c | 346.15$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Over | 53c | 326.98$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.3 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 47c | 323$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.68 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 59c | 317.31$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.3 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 55c | 257.2$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.57 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 52c | 248.55$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.27 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Under | 52c | 233.46$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.06 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 52c | 194.98$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.59 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 49c | 184.88$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.26 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1f2abacked Over | 52c | 152.3$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 69c | 149$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.24 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bba…49babacked Under | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +931.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 47c | 143$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.21 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 48c | 135.08$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.84 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 38c | 125.29$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.24 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.73 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 50c | 115.2$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d6…e952backed Over | 52c | 108.52$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.43 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Over | 47c | 106.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 339 | 34.5%117 W · 222 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 49c | 103$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 28c | 101.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over | 18c | 92.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 59c | 87$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 38c | 82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.24 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 61c | 78.6$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd738…eeeebacked Over | 78c | 78.44$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Under | 53c | 71.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 54c | 68.4$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…76a1backed Over | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 54c | 66.47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 53c | 64.73$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Under | 54c | 52.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Over | 50c | 50.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Over | 50c | 50.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523c…2c05backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 53c | 39.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 40c | 38.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 1,013 | 50.3%510 W · 503 L | +51.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf574…de82backed Over | 48c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 62c | 37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 53c | 35.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 383 | 52.2%200 W · 183 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 49c | 35.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 40c | 35.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Under | 48c | 33.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Over | 51c | 31.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 48c | 29.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 50c | 28.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Under | 58c | 26.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 430 | 43%185 W · 245 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Over | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 447 | 37.4%167 W · 280 L | -24.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Over | 51c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 348 | 43.4%151 W · 197 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5this page
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: Athletics (-3.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Athletics won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. AthleticsSt. Louis Cardinals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics: O/U 5.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics: O/U 6.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics: O/U 7.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. AthleticsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.