MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x189c45ce4cdbb4bcff852244a0e563b084cc6a9025c0bffefb9bce414b02f34d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 55c | 2,401$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.59 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 45c | 2,399$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.26 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 69c | 1,022$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.04 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 53c | 555$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.85 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 546.88$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.86 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Under | 54c | 371.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.33 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 31c | 284.71$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.9 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 46c | 283.86$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.57 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 30c | 161.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over | 35c | 102.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Over | 31c | 82.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 66c | 77.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9608…8cf3backed Over | 46c | 64.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Over | 35c | 51.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Over | 35c | 51.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Over | 35c | 51.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed Over | 33c | 51.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Over | 35c | 51.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Over | 35c | 51.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked Over | 35c | 51.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 50c | 48.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.27 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Over | 57c | 47.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 328 | 57.9%190 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 46c | 44.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 59c | 42.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Over | 30c | 36.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3255…ffb9backed Over | 48c | 31.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 180 | 53.9%97 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 12.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-5.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-6.5)Los Angeles Angels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.