MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48bf9e446715cb14cc6ac4577d9420798eb0447941c16027a742bff7d17e9038
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Dodgersof Los Angeles Dodgers, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,770
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,770 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 13,000$6,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,240 | 540 | 51.1%276 W · 264 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Los Angeles Angels | 48c | 9,759$4,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,684.26 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Los Angeles Angels | 48c | 7,500$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.95 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 2,063$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.74 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 1,287$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.17 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 1,058$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.69 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 48c | 999.97$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.98 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 640$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 494.64$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.43 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 48c | 370.1$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.65 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 291.1$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.73 | 293 | 54.9%161 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 169.64$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.36 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 153.25$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.56 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 149.15$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.55 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 149.13$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.54 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…4ee0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 110$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 48c | 106.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.13 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7240…3325backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 104.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2713…43b2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 103.85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.85 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 100.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.59 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 100.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.59 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 100.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.59 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 94.36$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 74.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 59.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 59.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 57.26$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 32.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2af7…37e2backed Los Angeles Angels | 48c | 28.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -5.2wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Los Angeles Angels | 36c | 27.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 246 | 46.7%115 W · 131 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 26.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 469 | 46.3%217 W · 252 L | -25.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 23.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 77c | 20.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 12.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-5.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-6.5)Los Angeles Angels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.