TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Los Angeles Dodgersof Los Angeles Dodgers, Los Angeles Angels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,642
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,273

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,642 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb7f5…c669backed Los Angeles Angels47c3,969$1,866 inLost-$1,865.6447953.2%255 W · 224 L+18.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Los Angeles Angels36c3,929$1,414 inLost-$1,414.46,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Los Angeles Dodgers53c2,734$1,449 inWon+$1,284.871,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers28c2,467$691 inWon+$1,776.061,91253%1,014 W · 898 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeed6…ec56backed Los Angeles Dodgers64c1,629$1,043 inWon+$586.461060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Los Angeles Angels44c480.99$212 inLost-$211.631,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Los Angeles Dodgers56c402.97$226 inWon+$177.315450%27 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers53c348$184 inWon+$163.561,72350.3%867 W · 856 L+55.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb22a…a80dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers58c344.83$200 inWon+$144.832864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+27.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Los Angeles Angels41c138.88$57 inLost-$56.942,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Dodgers59c118.04$70 inWon+$48.412,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Dodgers64c115.72$74 inWon+$41.6710,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers55c99.15$55 inWon+$44.6211153.2%59 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Los Angeles Angels66c80.86$53 inLost-$53.3737357.4%214 W · 159 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Los Angeles Dodgers53c75.47$40 inWon+$35.4718444%81 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Los Angeles Dodgers34c74.98$25 inWon+$49.4968942.2%291 W · 398 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Los Angeles Dodgers56c57.14$32 inWon+$25.1463943.3%277 W · 362 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Los Angeles Dodgers53c48.91$26 inWon+$22.991,01450.4%511 W · 503 L+52.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Los Angeles Dodgers53c35$19 inWon+$16.4545550.3%229 W · 226 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Los Angeles Angels37c31.75$12 inLost-$11.751,36754.3%742 W · 625 L+16.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3537…3419backed Los Angeles Dodgers56c25.88$14 inWon+$11.382060%12 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.