MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84043bfb44e9a9791258cc0ae4ee4611fb343d1c57528f4ee9f14571da63b738
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Dodgersof Los Angeles Dodgers, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 32c | 4,854$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,294.56 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Angels | 68c | 3,251$2,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,212.58 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Angels | 22c | 1,056$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.08 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 482.6$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.2 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 327.36$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.05 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9671…cfc4backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 327.36$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 325.69$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.9 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 21c | 256.38$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.84 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 30c | 250$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Los Angeles Angels | 22c | 197.73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Los Angeles Angels | 22c | 197.73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 41c | 150.25$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.65 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Los Angeles Angels | 11c | 148.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 143 | 44.8%64 W · 79 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 146.55$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 137.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 103.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.12 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 30c | 78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.78 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 66.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 466 | 59.7%278 W · 188 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 56.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Los Angeles Angels | 65c | 50.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Los Angeles Angels | 65c | 50.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Los Angeles Angels | 65c | 50.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 65c | 50.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4d…dd64backed Los Angeles Angels | 32c | 44.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 35c | 41.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed Los Angeles Angels | 65c | 41.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 246 | 46.7%115 W · 131 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 25.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 23.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…1d74backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 80c | 18.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 12.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-5.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-6.5)Los Angeles Angels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.