Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e986c320d3b92cef62fc71a44fa3ea617a89d022a6e8e25f13cdb6440aec994
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,800
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,800 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 41c | 17,110$7,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,015.02 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 59c | 12,066$7,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,971.06 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 59c | 5,758$3,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,375.8 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 42c | 2,222$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.24 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Over | 42c | 1,721$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.78 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa500…39d1backed Under | 60c | 750$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 42c | 708.3$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.55 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Under | 59c | 681$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.21 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…735bbacked Under | 58c | 599.94$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.98 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Over | 40c | 380.75$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.3 | 564 | 32.1%181 W · 383 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Over | 41c | 368.51$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.09 | 545 | 29.7%162 W · 383 L | -34.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Over | 40c | 295$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 197 | 52.8%104 W · 93 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 59c | 256.97$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.36 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Under | 59c | 247$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.27 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Over | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 961 | 49.9%480 W · 481 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Over | 42c | 193$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.06 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…388abacked Under | 59c | 181$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.21 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Under | 58c | 174$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.08 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78ba…0b74backed Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 42c | 152.66$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.12 | 343 | 57.1%196 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Under | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 185 | 60.5%112 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 59c | 150$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6700…67c4backed Over | 42c | 146.4$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.49 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 59c | 125$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 382 | 57.9%221 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Under | 59c | 119.89$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.15 | 375 | 48%180 W · 195 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1536…7f40backed Under | 59c | 101$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5e…1a0dbacked Over | 42c | 95.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7894…7b9dbacked Under | 59c | 94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Under | 59c | 89$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…4ce0backed Under | 59c | 78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Over | 42c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 390 | 44.6%174 W · 216 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9608…8cf3backed Under | 59c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 612 | 56.2%344 W · 268 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x868f…5da6backed Over | 42c | 70.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb223…3772backed Over | 42c | 68.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 394 | 45.2%178 W · 216 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 42c | 54.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Under | 61c | 54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 268 | 56.7%152 W · 116 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Under | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 183 | 59.6%109 W · 74 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b81…e7a6backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7c…1439backed Over | 42c | 44.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7421…ae44backed Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…01bdbacked Under | 60c | 32.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c20…42a1backed Under | 59c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Over | 39c | 27.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6158…517abacked Under | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 793 | 45.4%360 W · 433 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?GIANTX won
- Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)Movistar KOI won
- LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier PlayoffsMovistar KOI won
- LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX - Game 1 WinnerMovistar KOI won
- LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX - Game 2 WinnerMovistar KOI won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.