WNBA · resolved market
Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 164.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2bb8bded6c34d5bd30609f92a6bc8d6b0db089ead8108aefb8b0b03dec2f73e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,474
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,474 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaed0…6f18backed Under | 52c | 15,395$8,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,389.57 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 11,041$5,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,349.83 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.96 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 51c | 8,205$4,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,184.55 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd86e…45cebacked Under | 51c | 5,270$2,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,583.04 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…eb1abacked Over | 48c | 5,200$2,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,495.94 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 49c | 3,261$1,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602.78 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.99 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc638…e298backed Under | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 49c | 1,887$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.72 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 48c | 1,298$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.13 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…31e2backed Under | 49c | 1,292$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.52 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 1,050$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 49c | 913.98$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.13 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Under | 49c | 890$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.9 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 5c | 645.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf224…bda7backed Over | 40c | 550.6$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 48c | 518.12$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.7 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 50c | 495.41$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.71 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 52c | 484.54$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.54 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 60c | 364.31$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.72 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac7…3ef9backed Under | 75c | 362.55$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.61 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 52c | 341.93$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.13 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Under | 79c | 318.21$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.05 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 264$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.72 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Over | 49c | 244.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 42c | 230.08$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.57 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Under | 51c | 196.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.47 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 26c | 162.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Over | 49c | 151.42$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…6e53backed Under | 52c | 139.31$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.87 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 51c | 128.83$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.19 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…1cc3backed Over | 36c | 119.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 105.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 49c | 103.61$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.38 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…12d6backed Over | 49c | 103$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Under | 52c | 94.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.23 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 51c | 88.06$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…18cebacked Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Under | 78c | 78$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Under | 79c | 76$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5184…d17abacked Under | 71c | 63.38$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 49c | 53.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Under | 52c | 51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 52c | 49.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…56b7backed Under | 59c | 45.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…e238backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 64c | 37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 48c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 64c | 34.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 46c | 32.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73ff…0facbacked Under | 52c | 32.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Over | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 61c | 26.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31a0…5911backed Over | 51c | 24.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -6.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Under | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Over | 49c | 23.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Over | 49c | 23.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb207…839bbacked Under | 56c | 18.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 164.5this page
- Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State ValkyriesGolden State Valkyries won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 161.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 162.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 163.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.