WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x313f6a94d9547e1ed297b06bfbbd25e15d44ac370497a4a6873d3f2a9bf6c8b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden State Valkyriesof Atlanta Dream, Golden State Valkyries
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,689
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6f07…e8cebacked Atlanta Dream | 53c | 5,242$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 4,095$2,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130.6 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 3,193$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.6 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Atlanta Dream | 49c | 2,047$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.99 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 46c | 2,018$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.97 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Atlanta Dream | 50c | 1,177$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.78 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 1,024$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.76 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Atlanta Dream | 53c | 935.28$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 694.3$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 679.65$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.04 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 373.55$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.64 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Golden State Valkyries | 58c | 259.48$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.13 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 231.4$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.7 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Golden State Valkyries | 42c | 212.9$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.86 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…22b8backed Atlanta Dream | 49c | 211.84$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 204.5$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.68 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 193.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 193.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 109.25$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.72 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f64…3a1ebacked Atlanta Dream | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…18cebacked Atlanta Dream | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 74.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.61 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 66.84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.09 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…228fbacked Atlanta Dream | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Atlanta Dream | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Golden State Valkyries | 37c | 27.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 27.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Atlanta Dream | 64c | 26.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a0…5911backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 23.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -6.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 23.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Atlanta Dream | 47c | 23.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 22.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…256fbacked Atlanta Dream | 52c | 21.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 21.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Atlanta Dream | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Atlanta Dream | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Atlanta Dream | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5)this page
- Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State ValkyriesGolden State Valkyries won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 161.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 162.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 163.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 164.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.