WNBA · resolved market
Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 163.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ad347b7d4607543a5c5a05997563916634c33b82277af2e6bac8bbbceb8da17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,679
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,679 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2db5…cc23backed Over | 53c | 14,242$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 9,979$4,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,268.61 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 49c | 3,880$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996.06 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 52c | 1,111$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.48 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 999.98$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 50c | 986.43$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.22 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under | 52c | 957.55$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.91 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecb…03eebacked Over | 51c | 812.92$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 50c | 605.81$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.54 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 3c | 552.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffa3…08f0backed Over | 51c | 84.31$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 49c | 80.04$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 47c | 77.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 50c | 62.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…28ffbacked Under | 52c | 43.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 51c | 42.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Under | 51c | 26.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…cebabacked Over | 50c | 25.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Under | 50c | 21.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 60c | 19.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 163.5this page
- Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State ValkyriesGolden State Valkyries won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 161.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 162.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 164.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.