WNBA · resolved market
Dallas Wings vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 175.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2f23d31de6f7254e003bec3f7352ee57ce10464c3e7fdf088f8fce0d99ae845
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 59c | 5,627$3,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,334.32 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 2,793$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.87 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 23c | 2,662$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.3 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 36c | 2,097$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.66 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Over | 74c | 2,035$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.6 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 564.13$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.09 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 15c | 340$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 14c | 272.82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.26 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 53c | 271$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 28c | 227.49$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.37 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 20c | 221.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.46 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 46c | 206$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 35c | 190.15$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.55 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 52c | 155.84$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.21 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…763dbacked Over | 71c | 124.28$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 47c | 115.43$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.77 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 48c | 101.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Under | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 45c | 91.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 21c | 80.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 28c | 77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac7…3ef9backed Over | 71c | 76.71$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Under | 45c | 73.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Over | 63c | 63.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 57c | 59.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 49c | 54.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 53c | 52.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd47…61e3backed Over | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Under | 40c | 33.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Over | 60c | 32.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 54c | 23.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 46c | 23.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…614abacked Under | 47c | 21.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 71c | 17.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Over | 78c | 16.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +8.2wins | +0.23per pick | 58cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dallas Wings vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 175.5this page
- Dallas Wings vs. Las Vegas AcesLas Vegas Aces won
- Dallas Wings vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 176.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 177.5Over won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-4.5)Las Vegas Aces won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-5.5)Las Vegas Aces won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.