WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedd032311feba36d1ca590711cb529dc3768e38fab79ed51f3db0bede53dc9e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Las Vegas Acesof Las Vegas Aces, Dallas Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6f07…e8cebacked Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 6,250$3,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,971.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc87c…afd7backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 3,519$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.75 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Dallas Wings | 50c | 3,000$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 2,013$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.34 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcf…c767backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 1,815$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.28 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Dallas Wings | 48c | 1,776$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.1 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Dallas Wings | 38c | 1,706$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.52 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 1,673$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.2 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 1,247$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.16 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Dallas Wings | 50c | 1,144$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.82 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 1,121$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.31 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Dallas Wings | 4c | 560.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked Dallas Wings | 39c | 512.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Las Vegas Aces | 72c | 502$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.86 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 395.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.68 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Las Vegas Aces | 76c | 377.28$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.36 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Las Vegas Aces | 56c | 300.67$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.8 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Dallas Wings | 49c | 239.29$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.25 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 206$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b22…9431backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 204$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 197.18$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.23 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Dallas Wings | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…69f9backed Las Vegas Aces | 73c | 180.82$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.82 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Las Vegas Aces | 70c | 175.46$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.64 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Dallas Wings | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 107.4$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.77 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 102.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.37 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x119d…bec3backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Dallas Wings | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Dallas Wings | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…728abacked Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8537…b98bbacked Dallas Wings | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 92.46$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.38 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…7ef8backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Dallas Wings | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 40.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 36.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 33.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x982c…0d6ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 28.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 23.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 22.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 21.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-5.5)this page
- Dallas Wings vs. Las Vegas AcesLas Vegas Aces won
- Dallas Wings vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 175.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 176.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 177.5Over won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-4.5)Las Vegas Aces won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.