WNBA · resolved market
Toronto Tempo vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 180.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46380f77e9cb65bd39ade44de7044d08e785a8d365306efe7842aef308126852
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 3,746$1,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,985.21 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Under | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 55c | 2,080$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.81 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.82 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac7…3ef9backed Under | 23c | 1,702$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.65 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbb…48f2backed Under | 25c | 721.68$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 46c | 496.64$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.8 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Under | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa22d…6974backed Under | 53c | 409.09$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 401.84$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.97 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Under | 53c | 330.19$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e11…644abacked Over | 66c | 150.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…a053backed Over | 66c | 130.94$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Under | 35c | 130.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 17c | 101.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…ffcabacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…543dbacked Under | 51c | 83.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.67 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 45c | 79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 56c | 51.83$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b07…5f54backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0afb…9a96backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Over | 47c | 27.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…6659backed Under | 55c | 27.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x506e…e41bbacked Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0cccbacked Under | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +176.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 47c | 23.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 71c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f31…2d48backed Under | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Over | 50c | 22.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Tempo vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 180.5this page
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-7.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5)Indiana Fever won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Indiana FeverIndiana Fever won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 175.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 176.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 177.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 178.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 179.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.