TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Spread: Indiana Fever (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Indiana Feverof Indiana Fever, Toronto Tempo
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,943
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,671

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,943 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a26…937ebacked Indiana Fever50c11,983$5,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,991.292951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Indiana Fever55c8,286$4,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,743.514353.8%77 W · 66 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc87c…afd7backed Toronto Tempo50c7,463$3,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,731.541338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Tempo46c6,934$3,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,217.091,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Indiana Fever56c4,232$2,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,873.1224347.7%116 W · 127 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Toronto Tempo50c4,028$2,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0141553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Tempo43c3,790$1,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,631.8489349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Indiana Fever53c3,190$1,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,505.3413746%63 W · 74 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Tempo45c1,532$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.5883748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Toronto Tempo46c1,440$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.4878548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Toronto Tempo31c1,200$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.429251.1%47 W · 45 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Tempo30c1,103$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3331,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Toronto Tempo47c761.7$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35846247%217 W · 245 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Toronto Tempo52c537.83$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.6732743.7%143 W · 184 L-23.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed Indiana Fever51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2454841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Indiana Fever71c427.68$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.4136454.1%197 W · 167 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Toronto Tempo45c420$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18992248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca09…d50ebacked Toronto Tempo48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+36.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed Indiana Fever51c373.24$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.848447.6%40 W · 44 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Indiana Fever56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1411941.2%49 W · 70 L-12.0wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4702…5d04backed Toronto Tempo41c354.53$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-54.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45b5…2d74backed Toronto Tempo64c352.31$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2253046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Toronto Tempo45c322.26$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.022152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Toronto Tempo43c315.81$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.6520947.4%99 W · 110 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Indiana Fever51c303.07$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.1285158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Toronto Tempo50c298.46$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.0810935.8%39 W · 70 L-13.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-35.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Indiana Fever66c295.93$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.5730649%150 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Indiana Fever52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.464852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Indiana Fever52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.469554.7%52 W · 43 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Indiana Fever67c264.79$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.8218746%86 W · 101 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Toronto Tempo36c240.64$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8361042.5%259 W · 351 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Indiana Fever76c223.85$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0537650.3%189 W · 187 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Toronto Tempo49c212.31$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.4118844.1%83 W · 105 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Indiana Fever56c209.99$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.0911840.7%48 W · 70 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-32.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Indiana Fever77c209.75$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9534753.9%187 W · 160 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8fd…3e24backed Indiana Fever49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1023644.4%16 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x51da…a701backed Indiana Fever52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3116153.4%86 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Toronto Tempo45c183.34$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.532049.4%158 W · 162 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Indiana Fever72c151.92$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4241147%193 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Indiana Fever72c139.69$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6922967.7%155 W · 74 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Toronto Tempo44c138.72$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0410552.4%55 W · 50 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Indiana Fever65c138.47$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2424852.4%130 W · 118 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Indiana Fever69c130.35$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.912045%54 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Toronto Tempo59c127.49$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Toronto Tempo46c116.4$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5412343.1%53 W · 70 L-11.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Toronto Tempo44c111.75$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.177647.4%36 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Indiana Fever50c110$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.111349.6%56 W · 57 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8287…059ebacked Toronto Tempo53c103.77$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5530%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Indiana Fever49c101.26$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2612045%54 W · 66 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb915…8da5backed Indiana Fever51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Toronto Tempo49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496437.5%24 W · 40 L-6.6wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-24%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Indiana Fever51c98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.026145.9%28 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Toronto Tempo59c96.22$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7126147.1%123 W · 138 L+15.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x068c…c5bebacked Toronto Tempo49c95.49$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b2b…e5e7backed Indiana Fever52c87.58$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.044454.5%24 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6a0…2212backed Indiana Fever47c85.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Toronto Tempo32c83.2$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7234918.3%64 W · 285 L-49.5wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-58.1%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xb07e…2b92backed Toronto Tempo37c80.26$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-55%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Toronto Tempo48c78.73$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.097750.6%39 W · 38 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Indiana Fever52c76.88$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.913346.6%62 W · 71 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Toronto Tempo50c61.3$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6510657.5%61 W · 45 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15db…1da8backed Indiana Fever51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.823745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x269d…0c2cbacked Toronto Tempo49c50.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc3b…d591backed Indiana Fever46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Indiana Fever40c41.65$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.838744.7%173 W · 214 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked Toronto Tempo50c40.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.463644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Toronto Tempo50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35c9…bc74backed Indiana Fever52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4612651.6%65 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Tempo50c38.31$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1540550.9%206 W · 199 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Toronto Tempo46c32.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9919446.4%90 W · 104 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e6e…bdacbacked Indiana Fever40c32.23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+152%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Indiana Fever73c31.22$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3319646.9%92 W · 104 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Toronto Tempo55c29.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4923234.5%80 W · 152 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked Toronto Tempo48c28.77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.814961.2%30 W · 19 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x33fc…dc88backed Indiana Fever51c26.31$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.891330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-40.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf051…900ebacked Indiana Fever43c24.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.161163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa402…d14bbacked Toronto Tempo50c22.8$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.45952.5%31 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Toronto Tempo51c21.58$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0171245.4%323 W · 389 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Indiana Fever53c20.75$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.751172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+27.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5995…be17backed Toronto Tempo50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Toronto Tempo56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.132150.2%161 W · 160 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…4f6dbacked Indiana Fever64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.22552%13 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.