WNBA · resolved market
Toronto Tempo vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 179.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6121eb398cb83975bb4d1f8226e77b73c0381d97b3527cf0abb900831e72125b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $458,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $462,521
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $458,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 51c | 436,754$223,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223,710.81 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Over | 48c | 190,000$92,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,900 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Over | 49c | 150,000$73,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,500 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 49c | 53,319$26,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,192.52 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 16,811$8,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,553.86 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 50c | 11,166$5,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,583.22 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 49c | 9,882$4,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,022.12 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Over | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 5,887$2,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,977.3 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Over | 50c | 4,653$2,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,326.5 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over | 50c | 2,800$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 49c | 1,533$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.6 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 50c | 1,228$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.27 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…1a3ebacked Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +50%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Over | 49c | 1,099$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.49 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 48c | 882.66$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.66 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 49c | 700$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfb…6cbebacked Under | 51c | 662.96$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 50c | 402$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.12 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 240.44$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.13 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21a6…7442backed Over | 49c | 202.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.04 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…305cbacked Over | 49c | 202.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x550b…fdffbacked Under | 51c | 190.2$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9a…c65dbacked Over | 51c | 182.32$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.22 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c7…1ad3backed Over | 50c | 128.5$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec0…ecbfbacked Under | 50c | 107.54$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0f…e49cbacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f67…866ebacked Over | 51c | 92.59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.37 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 49c | 90$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…a31ebacked Over | 50c | 81.66$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Over | 50c | 65.02$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x683b…c863backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b7…239fbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Under | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 66c | 49.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…e238backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…18cebacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Over | 52c | 36.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3b…378bbacked Under | 43c | 34.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…ac5cbacked Over | 50c | 29.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Over | 49c | 27.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…846cbacked Over | 50c | 25.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Over | 50c | 24.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e4…c62abacked Over | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 70c | 23.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 49c | 22.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 70c | 19.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Tempo vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 179.5this page
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-7.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5)Indiana Fever won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Indiana FeverIndiana Fever won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 175.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 176.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 177.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 178.5Over won
- Toronto Tempo vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 180.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.