TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Indiana Feverof Indiana Fever, Toronto Tempo
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,628
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,478

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,628 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb6c3…600fbacked Indiana Fever44c9,078$3,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,083.481353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Toronto Tempo56c8,929$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00014353.8%77 W · 66 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Toronto Tempo49c6,852$3,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,357.4838645.9%177 W · 209 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Indiana Fever51c6,666$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,266.335050%25 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Toronto Tempo55c6,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,299.9527449.6%136 W · 138 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Indiana Fever45c5,692$2,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,130.67650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Indiana Fever46c4,186$1,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,274.151,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Toronto Tempo50c4,034$2,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,016.9516152.2%84 W · 77 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Indiana Fever49c4,000$1,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,044.252958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+28.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Toronto Tempo51c2,558$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30023049.6%114 W · 116 L-13.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Indiana Fever48c1,923$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.752751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cfa…9743backed Indiana Fever46c1,855$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.792123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-38.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Indiana Fever46c1,282$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.1499548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Indiana Fever45c1,217$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.1341145.7%188 W · 223 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Toronto Tempo50c991.89$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009354.8%51 W · 42 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Toronto Tempo51c980.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9964152%333 W · 308 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Indiana Fever44c838.97$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.1614346.2%66 W · 77 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…4f6dbacked Indiana Fever52c757.39$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.752552%13 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Indiana Fever50c735.8$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.485158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Indiana Fever46c721.7$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.1292248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x987e…8d7abacked Indiana Fever46c652.17$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.175461.1%33 W · 21 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Toronto Tempo19c600.04$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.159251.1%47 W · 45 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd480…ddc8backed Toronto Tempo13c514.55$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+27.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Indiana Fever50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25011941.2%49 W · 70 L-12.0wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Indiana Fever54c417.72$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.724852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Toronto Tempo58c332.51$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.5574942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Toronto Tempo53c301.7$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.934448%165 W · 179 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Tempo20c300.64$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.211,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Tempo36c293$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.3350646.8%237 W · 269 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Indiana Fever73c273.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9822967.7%155 W · 74 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Toronto Tempo57c267.22$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.2361042.5%259 W · 351 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Toronto Tempo55c236.36$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1306051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Indiana Fever45c231.44$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.7489349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cb1…1002backed Toronto Tempo51c225.96$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.242661.5%16 W · 10 L+4.1wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+46.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Indiana Fever51c215$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.3512751.2%65 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Toronto Tempo54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1086437.5%24 W · 40 L-6.6wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-24%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb05e…599abacked Indiana Fever55c182.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.891838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Indiana Fever45c165.76$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.1783748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Toronto Tempo56c150$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8411840.7%48 W · 70 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-32.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Indiana Fever48c141.62$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.0178548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd37…e117backed Indiana Fever48c125$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.89254.3%50 W · 42 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Indiana Fever74c121.76$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7624546.9%115 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Indiana Fever74c121.62$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6218850%94 W · 94 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2db2…84fdbacked Indiana Fever45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f67…866ebacked Indiana Fever46c102.04$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.16100%6 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+84.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb07e…2b92backed Indiana Fever74c100.66$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-55%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8537…b98bbacked Toronto Tempo52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525352.8%28 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ac…0e0bbacked Indiana Fever42c92.14$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.642050%10 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Toronto Tempo55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013348.1%64 W · 69 L-10.1wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Indiana Fever40c86.26$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7611250%56 W · 56 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Indiana Fever43c81$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1721150.2%106 W · 105 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x00f4…a732backed Toronto Tempo56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Toronto Tempo55c66.54$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.628447.9%136 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd1f…67dcbacked Indiana Fever45c63.55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.86560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa807…cc2ebacked Toronto Tempo53c63.53$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.675947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x332e…0747backed Toronto Tempo50c59.16$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.58475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9382…4ee3backed Indiana Fever48c58.33$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.331250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Toronto Tempo37c51.93$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2110935.8%39 W · 70 L-13.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-35.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Toronto Tempo54c50.63$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3410657.5%61 W · 45 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Indiana Fever47c43.72$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1732948.6%160 W · 169 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Toronto Tempo38c38.62$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5619646.9%92 W · 104 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Toronto Tempo37c38.22$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2734918.3%64 W · 285 L-49.5wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-58.1%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Indiana Fever46c36.7$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8239947.1%188 W · 211 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Indiana Fever74c36.66$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5350952.5%267 W · 242 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7232…1466backed Indiana Fever45c35.46$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+121.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Toronto Tempo50c33.85$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8523644.9%106 W · 130 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb481…4db8backed Indiana Fever48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.252445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Toronto Tempo50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1523234.5%80 W · 152 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Indiana Fever50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1526054.6%142 W · 118 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Toronto Tempo41c28.8$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8119245.8%88 W · 104 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Indiana Fever61c26.93$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.56758.2%39 W · 28 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3c2…5509backed Indiana Fever61c26.93$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.54252.4%22 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+24.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3186…2a53backed Indiana Fever61c26.93$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.52744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d30…5f85backed Indiana Fever61c26.93$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.52060%12 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4e9…d0a8backed Indiana Fever61c26.93$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd22f…d0eebacked Toronto Tempo56c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x123e…eed4backed Toronto Tempo56c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked Toronto Tempo51c25.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.254961.2%30 W · 19 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e62…79f1backed Indiana Fever51c25.31$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.45536.4%20 W · 35 L-6.4wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.