WNBA · resolved market
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 179.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30827072fa2b285c204952c4b217e8f947f711b51142a229e2d85420f2ed06ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $298,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $298,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $298,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 49c | 277,273$135,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135,893.83 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Over | 51c | 195,555$99,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95,821.95 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 50c | 36,010$17,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,013.52 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 52c | 35,241$18,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,036.83 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Under | 50c | 9,130$4,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,565 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…eb1abacked Under | 47c | 4,304$2,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,023.03 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 4,035$2,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.14 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 55c | 3,681$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.33 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Under | 50c | 2,365$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.26 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Under | 51c | 1,802$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.02 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Over | 51c | 1,310$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.89 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 53c | 840$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Over | 55c | 549.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.73 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 53c | 461$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 53c | 429.4$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.97 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 48c | 402.04$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.98 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9a…c65dbacked Over | 53c | 374.91$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.45 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a4…fb64backed Under | 7c | 296.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 53c | 269$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.18 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 51c | 98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac7…3ef9backed Over | 53c | 83.42$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.21 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 48c | 82.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Over | 53c | 76.47$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.73 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 46c | 73.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 52c | 65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…65f2backed Over | 51c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +106%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1d…5ae6backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Under | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1a93backed Over | 53c | 50.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…ac5cbacked Over | 53c | 40.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 46c | 35.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 52c | 30.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…9cb8backed Over | 51c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 50c | 26.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 52c | 21.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 179.5this page
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Toronto TempoToronto Tempo won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 180.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 181.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 186.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-1.5)Toronto Tempo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.