WNBA · resolved market
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 180.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51840d39c1c81a941600dfa4131680411b0c53ff731e7314f1a307c0663f9a4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,587
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,587 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 50c | 39,194$19,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,737.15 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 14,276$7,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,137.84 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 50c | 7,006$3,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,503.18 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Over | 48c | 7,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,640 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcf…c767backed Over | 49c | 5,431$2,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.75 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 2,530$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.2 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 50c | 1,997$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.48 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 50c | 1,910$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.57 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 1,686$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843 | 472 | 46.8%221 W · 251 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 50c | 1,612$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.79 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfa…9743backed Over | 50c | 1,547$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.5 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 50c | 1,314$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.14 | 420 | 46.7%196 W · 224 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…eb1abacked Under | 49c | 1,289$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.71 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28fb…5e15backed Over | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 50c | 930.66$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.33 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 604$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302 | 128 | 50.8%65 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…6e53backed Under | 51c | 223.55$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.36 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 50c | 119.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 351 | 18.5%65 W · 286 L | -49.3wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 51c | 119.98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.79 | 390 | 45.9%179 W · 211 L | -15.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 50c | 107$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 402 | 47.3%190 W · 212 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 52c | 80.75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 50c | 77.84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5cadbacked Over | 47c | 61.87$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 50c | 46.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 427 | 49.4%211 W · 216 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Over | 50c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Over | 51c | 27.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 51c | 21.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 180.5this page
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Toronto TempoToronto Tempo won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 179.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 181.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 186.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-1.5)Toronto Tempo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.