TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Monteof PARIVISION, Monte
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,179
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,187

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,179 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1f9c…b3e0backed PARIVISION62c7,121$4,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,423.472263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+70%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Monte37c6,187$2,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,897.7635054.6%191 W · 159 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Monte55c6,105$3,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,744.571,15448.3%557 W · 597 L+4.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Monte69c4,652$3,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,440.31,47651.8%765 W · 711 L-4.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70bc…4e16backed PARIVISION43c3,031$1,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,293.7728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed PARIVISION31c2,494$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.1417643.2%76 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed PARIVISION45c2,000$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.282,42944.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L-63.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed PARIVISION32c1,544$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50096545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed PARIVISION41c1,500$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61522253.2%118 W · 104 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed Monte68c1,500$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.9914950.3%75 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f0b…f901backed PARIVISION54c1,079$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.8435953.2%191 W · 168 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked PARIVISION61c1,000$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60765250.5%329 W · 323 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Monte45c896.89$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.5711155%61 W · 50 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf95e…53ffbacked Monte39c822.49$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.8219849.5%98 W · 100 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2b4…2ce6backed PARIVISION31c806.45$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25029757.6%171 W · 126 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed Monte70c756.58$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.9716544.8%74 W · 91 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xab12…764ebacked Monte68c750$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24022266.7%148 W · 74 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2662…3f84backed Monte68c737$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.8420958.9%123 W · 86 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked Monte67c680.2$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.472673.1%19 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1032…4243backed PARIVISION32c578.29$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.052231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed PARIVISION29c525.17$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.2538650.8%196 W · 190 L+11.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ff4…d731backed PARIVISION27c517.49$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.7219840.9%81 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked PARIVISION52c507.25$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.8335242.9%151 W · 201 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Monte61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19517853.9%96 W · 82 L+0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c67…e40ebacked PARIVISION2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1019642.9%84 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Monte73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13589248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed PARIVISION43c498.04$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.11,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Monte49c483.5$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.621550.2%108 W · 107 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed PARIVISION67c403.99$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.6728549.5%141 W · 144 L+1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69dc…0cf5backed Monte70c319.99$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.167866.7%52 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d08…5d9fbacked Monte40c278.08$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.9220248%97 W · 105 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8c…e548backed Monte39c256.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.622842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked PARIVISION31c238.33$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.895,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Monte8c219.21$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.451,64332.8%539 W · 1,104 L-48.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Monte71c211.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2744675.3%336 W · 110 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe80c…f3e6backed PARIVISION58c188.9$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.5641439.1%162 W · 252 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed PARIVISION31c162$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2227744.4%123 W · 154 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52be…801ebacked PARIVISION31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509549.5%47 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed PARIVISION63c135.95$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.331,36066.3%901 W · 459 L+75.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Monte53c134.69$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.6925848.8%126 W · 132 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Monte47c128.44$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9815923.3%37 W · 122 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe9b…cbe5backed PARIVISION12c121.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5744144.2%195 W · 246 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Monte69c120$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.237453.2%199 W · 175 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…bce9backed PARIVISION62c110.1$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689552.6%50 W · 45 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfb6…67edbacked PARIVISION30c109.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3315246.7%71 W · 81 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67b3…de25backed PARIVISION57c106.37$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.63540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Monte48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1720253%107 W · 95 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed PARIVISION31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3129449.3%145 W · 149 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x285a…0126backed Monte73c98$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4613857.2%79 W · 59 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3600…f72bbacked PARIVISION42c94.76$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4031950.5%161 W · 158 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda33…cd9abacked PARIVISION54c91.83$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014856.1%83 W · 65 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x14c8…c192backed Monte55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9110052%52 W · 48 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfde…8ad8backed Monte48c89.92$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.767546.7%35 W · 40 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9bb…cad6backed PARIVISION30c87.1$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1313754%74 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked PARIVISION49c85.88$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4230236.8%111 W · 191 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f68…189fbacked PARIVISION59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked PARIVISION31c81.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3134559.1%204 W · 141 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d1…ccfebacked Monte70c80$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2410765.4%70 W · 37 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86c8…570bbacked Monte69c72.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5815557.4%89 W · 66 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce05…9176backed Monte70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.438061.3%49 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6347…3047backed PARIVISION31c68.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3918145.9%83 W · 98 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9e7…56d8backed Monte69c65.2$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.227152.1%37 W · 34 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2846…267fbacked PARIVISION54c65.03$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.996858.8%40 W · 28 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+37.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8c8…b949backed Monte69c64.29$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.934156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf13…3366backed Monte48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.56232.3%20 W · 42 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Monte42c62$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.211,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed PARIVISION30c60.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.092,61051.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L+16.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24f5…98d2backed PARIVISION63c59.64$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6310844.4%48 W · 60 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Monte47c55$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.121,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf08…12a3backed Monte55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.558648.8%42 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae0…0dfebacked Monte48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.085259.6%31 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1941…48e0backed PARIVISION30c49.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511341.6%47 W · 66 L+0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9f6…f7e6backed PARIVISION53c47.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254856.3%27 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+41.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Monte45c45.72$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9868059.3%403 W · 277 L+64.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x31c4…622fbacked Monte44c44.73$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.052748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa372…65bbbacked Monte69c43.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.553060%18 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5943…869ebacked PARIVISION58c43.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257556%42 W · 33 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked PARIVISION29c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.612851.6%66 W · 62 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ed3…01e3backed PARIVISION28c39.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.27936.7%29 W · 50 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52cd…85fbbacked PARIVISION59c35.88$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0936541.9%153 W · 212 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f2b…8775backed Monte42c35.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7128556.8%162 W · 123 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d0…566ebacked Monte55c32.73$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7310154.5%55 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Monte45c31.68$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.479349.5%46 W · 47 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+26.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed PARIVISION47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.11,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3d…235fbacked Monte71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.174866.7%32 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0739…aba8backed Monte37c27.94$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.74652.2%24 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4954…ac42backed Monte70c25.71$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.715160.8%31 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Monte41c24.4$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.476646.1%353 W · 413 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce8…2686backed Monte70c22.86$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8623762.9%149 W · 88 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked PARIVISION54c21.47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.530545.9%140 W · 165 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2131…7325backed Monte68c21.17$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.771145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Monte69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.267350.1%337 W · 336 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8741…5b0abacked Monte56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.91457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c97…5c66backed Monte71c19.97$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.793363.6%21 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Monte73c15.7$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.241,82847.6%871 W · 957 L-54.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.