CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac92f7111116158aebe8f3258cc6cf6352677f466b3890759d79019b3ac29a22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x35f4…4a97backed Over | 49c | 5,811$2,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,941.3 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 50c | 3,608$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.7 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 52c | 1,634$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.55 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Under | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Under | 60c | 771.03$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.22 | 222 | 53.2%118 W · 104 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 53c | 502.56$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.34 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 51c | 500.1$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.05 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 46c | 403.01$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.95 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 62c | 360.57$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.32 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Under | 52c | 335.21$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.85 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Over | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 52c | 257.67$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.99 | 249 | 35.7%89 W · 160 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7964…f585backed Over | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 157 | 58%91 W · 66 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Over | 42c | 220.48$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.13 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Over | 37c | 211.03$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.03 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x786c…dd20backed Over | 49c | 204.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 219 | 42.5%93 W · 126 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c5…7b85backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ce…100fbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Over | 37c | 199.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.99 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 56c | 184.86$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.15 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…e4cbbacked Over | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 35c | 145.66$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.68 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 35c | 128.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.48 | 160 | 23.8%38 W · 122 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 28c | 126.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Over | 37c | 114.57$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.18 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2284…e326backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Over | 49c | 102.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Under | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 321 | 39.9%128 W · 193 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Over | 49c | 97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 44c | 94.76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.07 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 40c | 91.36$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.46 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 60c | 83.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd07c…26fdbacked Under | 44c | 66.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…1edebacked Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71db…aba8backed Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Over | 49c | 57.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd85d…0f24backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Over | 49c | 53.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 232 | 34.9%81 W · 151 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3337…780bbacked Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c36…e462backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 236 | 56.4%133 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20aa…aae4backed Under | 60c | 49.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…c6bbbacked Over | 41c | 49.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a65…5864backed Over | 47c | 42.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Over | 54c | 41.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0584…75eabacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…6b6cbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 177 | 64.4%114 W · 63 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b10…523bbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed Over | 48c | 31.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 224 | 60.7%136 W · 88 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2455…7559backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0614…ff8bbacked Over | 48c | 31.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…f6febacked Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 460 | 42.8%197 W · 263 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc015…c944backed Under | 79c | 25.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 52c | 25.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Under | 59c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Monte won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 WinnerMonte won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5)PARIVISION won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5)Monte won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)Monte won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.