TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Monte
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$464,899
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$568,336

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $464,899 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 297 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x67bb…b6efbacked PARIVISION50c25,000$12,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,50076058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Monte50c23,928$11,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,964.0923839.9%95 W · 143 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked Monte43c20,570$8,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,938.8121251.4%109 W · 103 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Monte31c15,000$4,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,649.9425555.3%141 W · 114 L+1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Monte26c11,186$2,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8889232.6%30 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed PARIVISION62c10,952$6,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,199.471,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked PARIVISION58c10,508$6,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,387.9641040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked Monte25c10,018$2,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,456.9422129.9%66 W · 155 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Monte27c8,997$2,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,426.923164.5%20 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed PARIVISION65c8,759$5,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,032.1787047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98e5…f069backed PARIVISION58c6,185$3,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,569.3414763.9%94 W · 53 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d2b…afc5backed PARIVISION68c5,343$3,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,723.6319659.2%116 W · 80 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked Monte39c4,957$1,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,94735745.4%162 W · 195 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Monte25c4,868$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216.9919949.7%99 W · 100 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked PARIVISION65c4,722$3,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,655.621,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked PARIVISION69c4,544$3,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.561,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed PARIVISION60c4,072$2,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.0288746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd206…bd2abacked Monte25c3,578$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.182850%14 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked Monte30c3,268$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98014037.9%53 W · 87 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Monte27c3,246$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.5614947.7%71 W · 78 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked PARIVISION58c3,204$1,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350.921,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Monte47c3,108$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449.555,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Monte29c2,984$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.2615053.3%80 W · 70 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd32f…1496backed PARIVISION67c2,918$1,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.812759.1%75 W · 52 L+12.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked PARIVISION61c2,826$1,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.071,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ff8…5e5dbacked Monte29c2,565$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.859549.5%47 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Monte37c2,445$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.36,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Monte49c2,433$1,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.141,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Monte49c2,270$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.1446749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd528…a2d2backed Monte34c2,250$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76518056.7%102 W · 78 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Monte22c2,190$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.652,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Monte33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6606744.8%30 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Monte44c1,970$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.6225248.8%123 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed Monte16c1,951$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30642057.6%242 W · 178 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e17…9d3cbacked PARIVISION80c1,860$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.286442.2%27 W · 37 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Monte53c1,794$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.5683652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed PARIVISION71c1,738$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.0238868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Monte36c1,606$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58575245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf424…9723backed Monte14c1,602$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.3221135.5%75 W · 136 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked Monte30c1,547$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.762738.8%243 W · 384 L-31.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2ff…906cbacked Monte20c1,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f63…9551backed Monte29c1,500$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4354252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Monte12c1,490$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.857641.1%237 W · 339 L-21.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Monte49c1,429$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70015155%83 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bc9…e551backed Monte17c1,354$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2302142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+52.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Monte19c1,300$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24431345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked Monte44c1,285$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56065650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked PARIVISION51c1,280$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.125,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Monte37c1,267$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.562,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc96…d916backed Monte8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010333%34 W · 69 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Monte25c1,200$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30061754.8%338 W · 279 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed PARIVISION75c1,199$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.5985851.6%443 W · 415 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2eac…3cf9backed Monte3c1,144$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.45742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed PARIVISION80c1,135$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.0844648.4%216 W · 230 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed Monte29c1,126$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.1747641.6%198 W · 278 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked Monte50c1,120$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56035460.7%215 W · 139 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69dc…0cf5backed PARIVISION79c1,050$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.937866.7%52 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc214…105dbacked Monte29c1,037$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012642.9%54 W · 72 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked PARIVISION72c1,028$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.976647%31 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed PARIVISION50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a13…4d34backed Monte22c999.99$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22011838.1%45 W · 73 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Monte25c999.99$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.818442.9%79 W · 105 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x180e…b3a6backed Monte33c956.9$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32012535.2%44 W · 81 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked PARIVISION61c930.53$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.051,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb378…e4c0backed Monte3c899.98$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2938312.8%49 W · 334 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41f7…9bf9backed Monte51c898.05$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.257748.1%37 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x450e…4fddbacked Monte29c890.21$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.114452.3%23 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Monte38c854.35$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.34,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ed5…b8a5backed Monte24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-58.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Monte49c815.18$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.911,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x177e…c244backed Monte57c765.42$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.2816633.7%56 W · 110 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed Monte9c764.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.822444.2%99 W · 125 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x65c4…3c1abacked Monte10c755$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767424.3%18 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Monte50c700$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.043,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Monte25c698.14$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.471,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae4c…dcb9backed Monte20c660$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13213743.8%60 W · 77 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Monte27c608.47$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.6313850%69 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Monte33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028443.7%124 W · 160 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff26…a5ddbacked Monte29c596.71$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1719443.6%41 W · 53 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf709…7697backed Monte7c571.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403411.8%4 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-50.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe295…d437backed PARIVISION54c566.47$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.362548%12 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed PARIVISION51c555$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.9538650.8%196 W · 190 L+11.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Monte50c536.86$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.439044.4%40 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed Monte26c517.04$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.5413754%74 W · 63 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2269…6233backed PARIVISION76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12014363.6%91 W · 52 L-0.4wins0.00per pick64cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x491d…f42bbacked Monte20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008758.6%51 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Monte3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7c0…f389backed Monte7c499.98$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356333.3%21 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01af…25cfbacked Monte23c490.58$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.724055%22 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2756…e8c7backed Monte29c474.66$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.815552.7%29 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc104…5faabacked Monte27c458.88$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.058020%16 W · 64 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-36.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed PARIVISION48c448.43$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.192,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x11e7…f559backed Monte39c443.95$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17314145.4%64 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd71c…20b3backed Monte35c435.62$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.1110339.8%41 W · 62 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Monte35c430.81$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.824,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed PARIVISION70c411.19$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.142,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed PARIVISION77c377$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.4764046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked Monte13c370.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030223.2%70 W · 232 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe61a…292dbacked Monte29c367.5$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.025461.1%33 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Monte32c367$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.664,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.