CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs Infinite (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3dea527d1c5510adcc8db6a11bd3fa6bdfc176f632dfbe15f848dfbcfd482e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof Team Nemesis, Infinite
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Infinite | 53c | 6,101$3,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240.55 | 679 | 51.4%349 W · 330 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Team Nemesis | 47c | 2,914$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.24 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Team Nemesis | 48c | 1,743$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.36 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad0…6187backed Infinite | 51c | 1,199$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.74 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Team Nemesis | 49c | 874.24$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.09 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Infinite | 52c | 839.24$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.61 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…acc1backed Team Nemesis | 49c | 714.29$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.29 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Team Nemesis | 46c | 442.16$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.77 | 343 | 40.8%140 W · 203 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Team Nemesis | 48c | 370.91$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.27 | 921 | 45.8%422 W · 499 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Nemesis | 49c | 313.59$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.93 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…4243backed Team Nemesis | 46c | 303.07$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.26 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Infinite | 25c | 281.19$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.24 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Team Nemesis | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Team Nemesis | 47c | 189.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.42 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Team Nemesis | 47c | 142.02$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.95 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Team Nemesis | 46c | 141.3$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.3 | 362 | 39.2%142 W · 220 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Infinite | 49c | 117.65$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.65 | 720 | 46.1%332 W · 388 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Team Nemesis | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Infinite | 52c | 96.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 132 | 34.8%46 W · 86 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Infinite | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 137 | 32.1%44 W · 93 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Team Nemesis | 47c | 92.48$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.37 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Infinite | 55c | 80.45$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 448 | 52.5%235 W · 213 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…17e6backed Team Nemesis | 46c | 54.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Team Nemesis | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20cf…e421backed Infinite | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Team Nemesis | 47c | 38.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 347 | 50.7%176 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Infinite | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Team Nemesis | 49c | 28.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 526 | 49%258 W · 268 L | -27.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Team Nemesis | 47c | 23.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…7127backed Infinite | 52c | 22.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9444…048ebacked Team Nemesis | 46c | 21.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs Infinite (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsTeam Nemesis won
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite - Map 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite - Map 2 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.