CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8c3b9f5e85b507bb7aa9d82cd9b35130d393df66e4d947496e4ee23e9cee320
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof Team Nemesis, Infinite
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Team Nemesis | 80c | 2,441$1,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.94 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf61a…5943backed Infinite | 7c | 1,121$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Infinite | 15c | 960.88$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.78 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…f65bbacked Infinite | 10c | 668.07$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Team Nemesis | 75c | 663.5$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.5 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Team Nemesis | 75c | 608.94$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.91 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Nemesis | 64c | 550.82$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.7 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6b…4d61backed Infinite | 3c | 519.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +161%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Infinite | 36c | 509.14$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.14 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Infinite | 35c | 444$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.75 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Infinite | 4c | 413.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…69f1backed Infinite | 21c | 240$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Infinite | 35c | 237$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.67 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Infinite | 19c | 233$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.06 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Infinite | 25c | 225.01$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.83 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Infinite | 35c | 197$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.55 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Team Nemesis | 77c | 182.36$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked Infinite | 27c | 171.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.79 | 330 | 57.3%189 W · 141 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Infinite | 33c | 170$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.82 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Infinite | 13c | 167.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Infinite | 35c | 147$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 100 | 29%29 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd976…7636backed Team Nemesis | 76c | 131.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Infinite | 24c | 126.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…1798backed Team Nemesis | 73c | 126$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.76 | 152 | 77.6%118 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Infinite | 20c | 125.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Infinite | 29c | 121.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Infinite | 17c | 103.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Nemesis | 63c | 97.23$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6b…e911backed Infinite | 24c | 96.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Infinite | 30c | 96.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Team Nemesis | 78c | 90.68$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Infinite | 19c | 86.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x56df…22c3backed Infinite | 36c | 84.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Infinite | 24c | 56.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Nemesis | 62c | 54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Team Nemesis | 60c | 51.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 193 | 29%56 W · 137 L | -23.4wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…dc10backed Team Nemesis | 59c | 51.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…5ad0backed Team Nemesis | 73c | 50.59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…a45fbacked Infinite | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 27cpaid | -76%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Team Nemesis | 66c | 39.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Team Nemesis | 64c | 33.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Team Nemesis | 63c | 33.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed Team Nemesis | 75c | 30.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Infinite | 34c | 30.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Team Nemesis | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Team Nemesis | 66c | 23.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked Team Nemesis | 65c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsTeam Nemesis won
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite - Map 2 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs Infinite (+1.5)Team Nemesis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.