CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6812c9ea817bdc10d6b8063ceda3ffd88c1b6b661e805e511e4394900058883c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof Team Nemesis, Infinite
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x14f3…1398backed Infinite | 10c | 1,942$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed Infinite | 21c | 1,190$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.82 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Infinite | 7c | 1,025$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.3 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Team Nemesis | 79c | 634.62$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a13…4d34backed Infinite | 9c | 562.29$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.63 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…f65bbacked Infinite | 17c | 456.45$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…0d8abacked Infinite | 30c | 454.56$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.37 | 215 | 19.1%41 W · 174 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1c…8273backed Team Nemesis | 77c | 390.36$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.36 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Nemesis | 80c | 371$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.2 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Team Nemesis | 80c | 359.83$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.33 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0c…1249backed Team Nemesis | 69c | 287.06$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.99 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Infinite | 30c | 280$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Infinite | 31c | 232.37$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.03 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Nemesis | 70c | 222.93$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.96 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Team Nemesis | 73c | 179.09$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Infinite | 7c | 175.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Infinite | 16c | 166.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…a45fbacked Infinite | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 27cpaid | -76%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Infinite | 29c | 153.81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Team Nemesis | 75c | 142.68$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.85 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…1798backed Team Nemesis | 72c | 138$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.26 | 152 | 77.6%118 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Infinite | 27c | 131.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed Team Nemesis | 69c | 125.7$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.97 | 401 | 55.1%221 W · 180 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd12…0b88backed Team Nemesis | 71c | 113.05$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Team Nemesis | 76c | 111.19$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Infinite | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Infinite | 14c | 97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Infinite | 31c | 89.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Team Nemesis | 73c | 81.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Team Nemesis | 78c | 62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Team Nemesis | 66c | 58.86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Infinite | 25c | 55.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…2262backed Infinite | 34c | 43.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed Team Nemesis | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Team Nemesis | 74c | 40.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 405 | 58.8%238 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Infinite | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Infinite | 31c | 38.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb08b…e878backed Team Nemesis | 70c | 28.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked Team Nemesis | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.61 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsTeam Nemesis won
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite - Map 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs Infinite (+1.5)Team Nemesis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.