Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs Barça eSports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8091d0f0b3e0e56a0a9c328011aba32856a19487a16e6ddf7deccfb9e4afedd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barça eSportsof Team Heretics Academy, Barça eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Team Heretics Academy | 58c | 9,801$5,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,644.93 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Barça eSports | 38c | 6,769$2,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,192.13 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Team Heretics Academy | 63c | 4,492$2,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,834.65 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…56d8backed Team Heretics Academy | 65c | 3,077$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Team Heretics Academy | 61c | 1,730$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.23 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +8.7wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Barça eSports | 40c | 1,652$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.05 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…7a85backed Barça eSports | 43c | 1,399$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.43 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…0abfbacked Barça eSports | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Barça eSports | 41c | 1,012$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.63 | 354 | 43.2%153 W · 201 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Barça eSports | 15c | 888.27$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.03 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Barça eSports | 41c | 788.85$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.42 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f0…ea0ebacked Barça eSports | 38c | 716$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 44cpaid | +133.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4d…b4cabacked Barça eSports | 36c | 672.86$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.63 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…0aa4backed Barça eSports | 43c | 600$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Barça eSports | 44c | 593.3$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.98 | 248 | 32.3%80 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Barça eSports | 39c | 573$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.12 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Barça eSports | 38c | 569.04$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.18 | 421 | 49.2%207 W · 214 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Barça eSports | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +5.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Barça eSports | 40c | 501.67$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…4243backed Barça eSports | 37c | 489.85$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.61 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Barça eSports | 15c | 474$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.9 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Team Heretics Academy | 56c | 372.45$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.98 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed Barça eSports | 39c | 319.08$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.64 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Barça eSports | 40c | 300$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.57 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Team Heretics Academy | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Team Heretics Academy | 64c | 272.96$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.61 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86ca…bc47backed Barça eSports | 36c | 241.67$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.67 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed Barça eSports | 40c | 235.75$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.45 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Barça eSports | 49c | 212.98$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Barça eSports | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Team Heretics Academy | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Barça eSports | 46c | 193.84$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.67 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Team Heretics Academy | 61c | 172.82$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.84 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Team Heretics Academy | 58c | 171.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 573 | 51.3%294 W · 279 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Barça eSports | 44c | 159.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.42 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Team Heretics Academy | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 569 | 49.4%281 W · 288 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Barça eSports | 37c | 149.7$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.41 | 639 | 44.6%285 W · 354 L | -18.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Barça eSports | 47c | 148.49$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.49 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Barça eSports | 40c | 146.54$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.37 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Barça eSports | 46c | 145$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.02 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Barça eSports | 43c | 135.81$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.41 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Barça eSports | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Team Heretics Academy | 53c | 73.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9a…72e7backed Team Heretics Academy | 64c | 70.64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 239 | 46%110 W · 129 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Team Heretics Academy | 65c | 69.61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 507 | 45%228 W · 279 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Barça eSports | 42c | 65.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.37 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf19a…2d2dbacked Barça eSports | 36c | 64.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Barça eSports | 47c | 61.87$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Barça eSports | 38c | 56.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Barça eSports | 47c | 56.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 186 | 48.9%91 W · 95 L | +12.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Barça eSports | 37c | 55.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Barça eSports | 36c | 55.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +8.3wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Team Heretics Academy | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 376 | 50%188 W · 188 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b0…4d1ebacked Barça eSports | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Barça eSports | 39c | 47.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…2b4fbacked Team Heretics Academy | 49c | 43.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 505 | 50.7%256 W · 249 L | +34.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…f083backed Barça eSports | 35c | 42.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…231dbacked Barça eSports | 49c | 41.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a2…947cbacked Barça eSports | 37c | 34.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +162.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Barça eSports | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3320…c9e7backed Team Heretics Academy | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Barça eSports | 60c | 23.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Heretics Academy | 65c | 21.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Team Heretics Academy | 75c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 577 | 72.3%417 W · 160 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs Barça eSports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Barça eSports vs Team Heretics Academy (BO3) - LES Regular SeasonTeam Heretics Academy won
- LoL: Barça eSports vs Team Heretics Academy - Game 1 WinnerTeam Heretics Academy won
- LoL: Barça eSports vs Team Heretics Academy - Game 2 WinnerBarça eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.