Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: MKF (-1.5) vs GIANTX iTero (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60551930eb30ab8eecca9a69d0fe6127bd0e7cba3308d70074a6a6c0223b149a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Movistar KOI Fénixof Movistar KOI Fénix, GIANTX iTero
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,341
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,341 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 65c | 2,224$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.37 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked GIANTX iTero | 35c | 1,100$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 304 | 37.8%115 W · 189 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 65c | 1,080$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.8 | 649 | 43.1%280 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9a…72e7backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 62c | 811.67$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.44 | 239 | 46%110 W · 129 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed GIANTX iTero | 38c | 718.86$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.17 | 414 | 33.6%139 W · 275 L | -30.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed GIANTX iTero | 34c | 501.47$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.5 | 357 | 42.9%153 W · 204 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked GIANTX iTero | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…f681backed GIANTX iTero | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 370 | 39.5%146 W · 224 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d3…c92fbacked GIANTX iTero | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 57c | 443.9$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.88 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…4243backed GIANTX iTero | 43c | 443.9$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.88 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 66c | 399.99$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed GIANTX iTero | 34c | 303.37$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.15 | 1,056 | 50.4%532 W · 524 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked GIANTX iTero | 35c | 296.2$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.91 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999d…a1e1backed GIANTX iTero | 45c | 257$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked GIANTX iTero | 38c | 192.03$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.65 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 63c | 157.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 574 | 49.7%285 W · 289 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked GIANTX iTero | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 609 | 43.2%263 W · 346 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c43…30edbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 67c | 150$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked GIANTX iTero | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 188 | 41%77 W · 111 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed GIANTX iTero | 38c | 123$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.07 | 1,343 | 49%658 W · 685 L | -26.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…cd25backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 57c | 104.81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 60c | 103.24$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.45 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed GIANTX iTero | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked GIANTX iTero | 38c | 93.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 655 | 44.1%289 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed GIANTX iTero | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 376 | 50%188 W · 188 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b0…4d1ebacked GIANTX iTero | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c62…ca89backed GIANTX iTero | 36c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…a791backed GIANTX iTero | 38c | 34.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4067…6ffabacked GIANTX iTero | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 61c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 1,502 | 50.3%756 W · 746 L | +71.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: MKF (-1.5) vs GIANTX iTero (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: GIANTX iTero vs Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Regular SeasonMovistar KOI Fénix won
- LoL: GIANTX iTero vs Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 1 WinnerMovistar KOI Fénix won
- LoL: GIANTX iTero vs Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 2 WinnerMovistar KOI Fénix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.