TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: GIANTX iTero vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
⁠Movistar KOI Fénixof GIANTX iTero, ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,421
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,757

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,421 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdfa8…cae6backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix79c2,000$1,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.6282953.4%443 W · 386 L-3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x515d…0340backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix71c1,720$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.534658.1%201 W · 145 L+17.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed GIANTX iTero23c1,318$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.051,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fb8…5a88backed GIANTX iTero22c1,204$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.9434255.6%190 W · 152 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed GIANTX iTero23c838.64$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.491,38937.7%524 W · 865 L-45.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a01…bc5ebacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix71c770$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.535058.6%205 W · 145 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix76c726.99$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.122,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix78c692.15$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.6260053.2%319 W · 281 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed GIANTX iTero17c683.9$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.2624835.1%87 W · 161 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed GIANTX iTero24c678.02$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.7997427.8%271 W · 703 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a9a…72e7backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix78c644.32$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.7523946%110 W · 129 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed GIANTX iTero21c638$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.9842840.2%172 W · 256 L-32.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked GIANTX iTero22c549$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.7824434.4%84 W · 160 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked GIANTX iTero19c527.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029940.1%120 W · 179 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa14c…23a1backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix77c524$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.5258850.5%297 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e43…6583backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix78c500$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11019959.8%119 W · 80 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed GIANTX iTero28c490.56$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.962,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e24…4fabbacked GIANTX iTero26c461.36$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.3433857.7%195 W · 143 L+18.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix79c453.81$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.8285742.7%366 W · 491 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix76c397.08$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.31,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed GIANTX iTero24c397.08$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.328235.1%99 W · 183 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked GIANTX iTero8c345.43$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3367115.4%103 W · 568 L-28.9wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-57.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix77c342$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.6696054.2%520 W · 440 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18b7…fff9backed GIANTX iTero6c333.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2055110.3%57 W · 494 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+55.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed GIANTX iTero22c323.05$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0786943.2%375 W · 494 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…a2cbbacked GIANTX iTero31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024554.3%133 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed GIANTX iTero21c231.54$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.562,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed GIANTX iTero18c210.7$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.931,22549.6%607 W · 618 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed GIANTX iTero22c206.78$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.492,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4941…36cdbacked GIANTX iTero28c157.31$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf7c…4c16backed GIANTX iTero32c156$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9233237.7%125 W · 207 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbd2…2b8fbacked GIANTX iTero22c153.5$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7742851.2%219 W · 209 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed GIANTX iTero22c146$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7259554.1%322 W · 273 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked GIANTX iTero22c126.12$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7528544.9%128 W · 157 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5266…22acbacked GIANTX iTero12c107$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9911357.5%65 W · 48 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f5b…315ebacked GIANTX iTero25c104$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610639.6%42 W · 64 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed GIANTX iTero26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2686758.1%504 W · 363 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2477741.7%324 W · 453 L-27.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc27f…2a25backed GIANTX iTero20c98.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4496452.7%508 W · 456 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix72c97.48$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.521,97130.5%601 W · 1,370 L-170.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xb9cc…7262backed GIANTX iTero21c84.21$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.522846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9506…b44fbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix78c83.33$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.33785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick53cpaid+49.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xff85…e923backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix75c63.21$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.89339.8%37 W · 56 L-10.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-28.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix71c60.81$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.671,31049.2%644 W · 666 L-23.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df3…9ac3backed GIANTX iTero21c55.52$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6642055%231 W · 189 L+22.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d4f…6cb9backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix75c54.78$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.452343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix78c54.5$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.131,92242.2%811 W · 1,111 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix79c50.93$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9366058.8%388 W · 272 L-36.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix70c43.11$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9315823.4%37 W · 121 L-21.3wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-58.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x200e…e21dbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix77c32.47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4799747.1%470 W · 527 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix69c32.26$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101,04750.3%527 W · 520 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c33…e0dabacked GIANTX iTero31c32.26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105541.8%23 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5812…7d11backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix77c18.26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix78c18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.9637343.4%162 W · 211 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x62f9…ae42backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix74c17.59$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.513154.2%71 W · 60 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3238…6471backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix79c12.87$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.713473.9%99 W · 35 L+13.8wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+17.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.